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Region = MD 21 West-2 Nickname = D Warriors Coach = Patrick BergstromGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.9037018 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Walkersville MD 21 West-2 ( 5- 9, 70.8) 6- 5 325 N St Marys Ryken DC WCAC ( 9-10, 91.0) 3-20 325 A St James DC MAC (10- 8, 86.1) 4-13 329 A Smithsburg MD 21 West-2 ( 4- 9, 68.0) 9- 7 404 A South Hagerstown MD 32 West-1 ( 1-11, 61.0) 11- 7 411 H North Hagerstown MD 32 West-1 ( 8- 5, 73.4) 7-11 413 A Brunswick MD 21 West-2 ( 3-10, 68.8) 13-14 o 418 A Smithsburg MD 21 West-2 ( 4- 9, 68.0) 9-12 424 H St Maria Goretti MD MILL-W ( 4- 8, 77.5) 9-11 426 H South Hagerstown MD 32 West-1 ( 1-11, 61.0) 12- 7 427 A North Hagerstown MD 32 West-1 ( 8- 5, 73.4) 8- 9 502 H Frederick MD 32 West-1 ( 0-13, 55.5) 19- 5 503 A Catoctin MD 21 West-2 ( 4- 9, 70.6) 5- 6 504 H Gov. Thomas Johnson MD 32 West-1 ( 8- 6, 74.2) 8- 7 2o 510 H Smithsburg MD 21 West-2 ( 4- 9, 68.0) 17-10 512 A Century MD 21 West-2 (10- 7, 80.2) 6-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Walkersville 6- 5 1 0 2.00 325 N St Marys Ryken 3-20 -17 -20 n/a 325 A St James 4-13 -9 -16 n/a 329 A Smithsburg 9- 7 2 1 0.16 404 A South Hagerstown 11- 7 4 8 -- -4.84 411 H North Hagerstown 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.16 413 A Brunswick 13-14 o -1 1 - -2.05 418 A Smithsburg 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.84 424 H St Maria Goretti 9-11 -2 -5 n/a 426 H South Hagerstown 12- 7 5 10 -- -5.00 427 A North Hagerstown 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.57 502 H Frederick 19- 5 14 16 0.00 503 A Catoctin 5- 6 -1 0 -0.20 504 H Gov. Thomas Johnson 8- 7 2o 1 -2 + 3.65 510 H Smithsburg 17-10 7 3 + 3.43 512 A Century 6-16 -10 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A South Hagerstown 11- 7 4 8 -- -4.84 418 A Smithsburg 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.84 426 H South Hagerstown 12- 7 5 10 -- -5.00 411 H North Hagerstown 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.16 413 A Brunswick 13-14 o -1 1 - -2.05OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H St Maria Goretti 9-11 -2 -5 + 427 A North Hagerstown 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.57 504 H Gov. Thomas Johnson 8- 7 2o 1 -2 + 3.65 510 H Smithsburg 17-10 7 3 + 3.43/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 70.70 Local Power Rank........... 83 Local SOS Rating......... 44.82 Local SOS Rank............. 87 Local RPI Rating......... 0.40 Local RPI Rank............. 133 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 21 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 90 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7