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Conf = SWCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Falcons Coach = John DistlerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.2663422 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 7, 87.0) 9-16 404 H New Milford CT L (11- 9, 73.8) 15- 5 407 H Stratford CT M ( 8-10, 65.7) 15- 3 411 H Weston CT M (15- 5, 82.5) 15- 8 413 A Brookfield CT M (10- 9, 72.6) 13- 5 418 H Wantagh NY B Sec 8 ( 9- 6, 89.8) 8-10 420 A New Fairfield CT M (18- 3, 85.7) 7-11 422 H Simsbury CT L (11- 9, 80.4) 5-14 427 A Bethel CT M ( 4-12, 63.5) 14- 6 429 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (14- 8, 80.4) 4-12 503 H Newtown CT L (11- 9, 79.9) 14-10 509 A Pomperaug CT M (14- 6, 75.5) 19-10 510 A Glastonbury CT L (17- 4, 89.6) 5-14 511 H Notre Dame-West Haven CT M (12- 7, 78.6) 13- 7 515 A Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 3-13, 58.5) 16- 4 520 A Guilford CT M ( 9- 9, 78.2) 11-12 o 523 H Weston CT M (15- 5, 82.5) 11- 7 525 N New Fairfield CT M (18- 3, 85.7) 8- 9 o 527 H East Lyme CT M (11- 8, 73.6) 16- 5 531 A New Fairfield CT M (18- 3, 85.7) 4-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Bay Shore 9-16 -7 -7 n/a 404 H New Milford 15- 5 10 6 + 3.63 407 H Stratford 15- 3 12 14 0.00 411 H Weston 15- 8 7 -2 +++ 9.35 413 A Brookfield 13- 5 8 6 1.77 418 H Wantagh 8-10 -2 -9 n/a 420 A New Fairfield 7-11 -4 -6 + 2.85 422 H Simsbury 5-14 -9 0 --- -8.74 427 A Bethel 14- 6 8 15 - -2.00 429 H Daniel Hand-Madison 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.69 503 H Newtown 14-10 4 0 + 3.73 509 A Pomperaug 19-10 9 3 ++ 5.64 510 A Glastonbury 5-14 -9 -10 1.00 511 H Notre Dame-West Haven 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.46 515 A Notre Dame-Fairfield 16- 4 12 20 0.00 520 A Guilford 11-12 o -1 0 -1.70 523 H Weston 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.35 525 N New Fairfield 8- 9 o -1 -6 ++ 5.22 527 H East Lyme 16- 5 11 6 + 3.51 531 A New Fairfield 4-11 -7 -6 -0.15UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Simsbury 5-14 -9 0 --- -8.74 429 H Daniel Hand-Madison 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.69 427 A Bethel 14- 6 8 15 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Weston 15- 8 7 -2 +++ 9.35 418 H Wantagh 8-10 -2 -9 +++ 523 H Weston 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.35 509 A Pomperaug 19-10 9 3 ++ 5.64 511 H Notre Dame-West Haven 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.46 525 N New Fairfield 8- 9 o -1 -6 ++ 5.22 404 H New Milford 15- 5 10 6 + 3.63 420 A New Fairfield 7-11 -4 -6 + 2.85 503 H Newtown 14-10 4 0 + 3.73 527 H East Lyme 16- 5 11 6 + 3.51/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.50 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 55.67 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 43 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 19 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0