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Conf = Catholic Region = MA 3 North Nickname = A Cougars Coach = Peter SmythGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.6855011 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 330 H Whittier Vo Tech MA 3 North ( 5-14, 62.9) 11- 2 403 A Cardinal Spellman MA 3 South (18- 5, 79.9) 10- 1 405 H Archbishop Williams MA 3 South ( 5-13, 69.6) 16- 7 407 H Triton Regional MA 3 North (14- 7, 81.1) 7- 9 410 H St Mary's-Lynn MA 3 North (12-10, 74.7) 12- 6 412 A Bishop Fenwick MA 3 North (10-11, 73.4) 8- 3 418 A Newburyport MA 3 North (10-10, 79.4) 5- 7 420 A Manchester-Essex MA 3 North (10-11, 76.0) 9- 8 422 A North Reading MA 3 North (15- 7, 82.9) 7-12 424 H Arlington Catholic MA 3 CenEast ( 8- 9, 74.6) 13- 4 428 A Watertown MA 3 CenEast ( 3-15, 63.7) 18- 5 501 A Archbishop Williams MA 3 South ( 5-13, 69.6) 16- 7 503 A St Mary's-Lynn MA 3 North (12-10, 74.7) 19- 7 506 H Gloucester MA 2 North ( 5-13, 69.9) 11- 1 508 H Bishop Fenwick MA 3 North (10-11, 73.4) 14- 3 510 A Arlington Catholic MA 3 CenEast ( 8- 9, 74.6) 11- 8 512 A Pentucket MA 3 North (12- 6, 80.4) 12-11 o 515 A Cardinal Spellman MA 3 South (18- 5, 79.9) 6- 9 523 H Shawsheen Valley RVT MA 2 North (17- 6, 78.2) 10- 4 524 H Malden Catholic MA 2 North ( 9-11, 80.0) 5- 9 530 H Saugus MA 3 North (10-11, 64.5) 18- 0 602 H Pentucket MA 3 North (12- 6, 80.4) 9- 7 607 A Ipswich MA 3 North (20- 2, 90.9) 9-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Whittier Vo Tech 11- 2 9 20 -1.00 403 A Cardinal Spellman 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.97 405 H Archbishop Williams 16- 7 9 13 -1.00 407 H Triton Regional 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.09 410 H St Mary's-Lynn 12- 6 6 8 - -2.48 412 A Bishop Fenwick 8- 3 5 8 - -3.51 418 A Newburyport 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.44 420 A Manchester-Essex 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.90 422 A North Reading 7-12 -5 0 -- -4.01 424 H Arlington Catholic 13- 4 9 8 0.43 428 A Watertown 18- 5 13 18 0.00 501 A Archbishop Williams 16- 7 9 12 -1.00 503 A St Mary's-Lynn 19- 7 12 7 + 2.81 506 H Gloucester 11- 1 10 13 0.00 508 H Bishop Fenwick 14- 3 11 9 0.21 510 A Arlington Catholic 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.29 512 A Pentucket 12-11 o 1 1 -0.51 515 A Cardinal Spellman 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.03 523 H Shawsheen Valley RVT 10- 4 6 4 1.09 524 H Malden Catholic 5- 9 -4 3 --- -7.16 530 H Saugus 18- 0 18 18 0.00 602 H Pentucket 9- 7 2 2 -0.79 607 A Ipswich 9-14 -5 -9 ++ 4.01UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 524 H Malden Catholic 5- 9 -4 3 --- -7.16 407 H Triton Regional 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.09 418 A Newburyport 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.44 420 A Manchester-Essex 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.90 422 A North Reading 7-12 -5 0 -- -4.01 510 A Arlington Catholic 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.29 515 A Cardinal Spellman 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.03 410 H St Mary's-Lynn 12- 6 6 8 - -2.48 412 A Bishop Fenwick 8- 3 5 8 - -3.51OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Cardinal Spellman 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.97 607 A Ipswich 9-14 -5 -9 ++ 4.01 503 A St Mary's-Lynn 19- 7 12 7 + 2.81/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.52 Local Power Rank........... 55 Local SOS Rating......... 50.07 Local SOS Rank............. 126 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 35 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 27 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 53 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0