Asheville School              7 - 5


 
                                     Region = NC 2  NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Blues                Coach  =   Lecky Haller          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   83.4161682    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Hendersonville LC      NC    NCC     ( 1- 3, 79.5)    17- 3   
 324 N Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 6, 87.9)     7- 8   
 328 A Christ School          NC 1  NCISAA  (16- 5, 99.9)     3-21   
 404 H Christ School          NC 1  NCISAA  (16- 5, 99.9)     5-16   
 407 A Covenant Day           NC 2  NCISAA  ( 3-17, 71.8)    11- 4   
 414 A Denver                 NC    NCC     (17- 9, 92.4)    15- 9   
 425 H Davidson Day           NC 2  NCISAA  ( 8- 8, 79.4)    13- 8   
 429 H Denver                 NC    NCC     (17- 9, 92.4)     9- 8   
 505 H Covenant Day           NC 2  NCISAA  ( 3-17, 71.8)    14- 8   
 506 H Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  (11- 6, 83.7)     4- 8   
 513 H St. David's School     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 8- 7, 76.4)    15-11   
 516 A Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 6, 87.9)    14-16   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Hendersonville LC      17- 3      14     6          n/a  
   324 N Cape Fear Academy       7- 8      -1    -2           1.43
   328 A Christ School           3-21     -18   -15           0.00
   404 H Christ School           5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   407 A Covenant Day           11- 4       7    12    -     -3.00
   414 A Denver                 15- 9       6    -7          n/a  
   425 H Davidson Day           13- 8       5     7    -     -2.23
   429 H Denver                  9- 8       1    -6          n/a  
   505 H Covenant Day           14- 8       6    14    --    -4.00
   506 H Forsyth Cou Day         4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.02
   513 H St. David's School     15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   516 A Cape Fear Academy      14-16      -2    -3           1.59


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Forsyth Cou Day         4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.02
   513 H St. David's School     15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   505 H Covenant Day           14- 8       6    14    --    -4.00
   407 A Covenant Day           11- 4       7    12    -     -3.00
   425 H Davidson Day           13- 8       5     7    -     -2.23


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Denver                 15- 9       6    -7    +++        
   429 H Denver                  9- 8       1    -6    +++        
   302 H Hendersonville LC      17- 3      14     6    +          




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.51 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.66 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7


  
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