2016 boys Virginia VHSL 4A/5A/6A
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Dominion 21 0 1 15 2 2 3 1 6 26.00 2 Atlee 13 6 11 14 24 5 1 8 14 0.10 3 James River 16 2 10 66 7 6 8 6 20 0.10 4 Hanover 15 4 19 47 16 13 5 5 23 0.10 5 Colonial Forge 18 2 26 67 5 8 10 7 25 0.10 6 Stone Bridge 17 1 2 21 3 4 18 4 26 34.00 7 Briar Woods 13 7 7 5 12 10 2 19 31 3.00 8 Woodgrove 13 3 4 22 9 12 9 10 31 9.00 9 Western Albemarl 15 6 17 26 28 7 21 13 41 0.10 10 Patrick Henry Ro 17 3 5 39 6 3 39 2 44 1.00 11 South Lakes 16 3 6 27 4 16 17 12 45 3.00 12 E.C. Glass 11 7 38 43 37 14 7 25 46 0.10 13 Douglas Freeman 12 6 33 29 22 11 28 9 48 0.10 14 Robinson 20 2 3 3 1 1 44 3 48 9.00 15 Broad Run 10 5 18 10 13 19 13 18 50 3.00 16 Freedom-South Ri 15 5 21 40 17 20 15 17 52 1.00 17 Woodson 16 6 8 16 8 17 11 27 55 1.00 18 Albemarle 11 6 31 20 18 9 38 11 58 0.10 19 Yorktown 12 7 16 7 11 25 4 30 59 0.10 20 Centreville 11 6 12 9 15 21 12 28 61 0.10 21 Loudoun County 11 5 15 25 20 23 16 23 62 2.00 22 Loudoun Valley 11 4 13 23 21 15 22 26 63 0.10 23 Salem 12 5 41 75 36 28 19 16 63 0.10 24 North Stafford 13 3 24 71 25 22 35 15 72 0.10 25 Riverside 11 5 25 41 23 30 20 22 72 0.10 26 Midlothian 11 5 36 80 35 34 23 21 78 0.10 27 South County 13 5 9 24 10 26 34 29 89 1.00 28 Jefferson Forest 12 5 35 63 29 18 52 24 94 0.10 29 Langley 8 10 32 4 38 32 6 59 97 0.10 30 Kettle Run 10 7 40 42 44 36 25 40 101 0.10 31 Chantilly 7 11 28 1 32 24 29 55 108 2.00 32 Thomas Dale 9 6 67 88 46 41 33 35 109 0.10 33 Heritage-Leesbur 6 9 48 18 54 39 14 57 110 0.10 34 Mountain View 8 7 52 53 56 35 30 46 111 0.10 35 Battlefield 11 6 23 30 27 33 41 39 113 0.10 36 Madison 12 10 22 8 31 27 42 50 119 2.00 37 Patriot 11 6 14 35 34 29 47 44 120 2.00 38 John Champe 10 6 39 52 40 40 46 36 122 0.10 39 Lake Braddock 7 7 34 17 33 37 51 43 131 0.10 40 Rockbridge Count 10 5 54 102 43 45 56 32 133 0.10 41 Oakton 6 9 29 6 41 44 27 63 134 0.10 42 Marshall 14 2 20 85 14 38 86 14 138 0.10 43 Woodbridge 11 7 57 100 51 57 40 41 138 0.10 44 Westfield 8 9 27 2 30 31 64 48 143 1.00 45 Hidden Valley 8 9 80 82 62 53 36 58 147 0.10 46 Tuscarora 6 10 58 34 66 56 26 65 147 0.10 47 Brooke Point 6 10 60 51 77 48 31 70 149 0.10 48 Deep Run 7 8 53 45 48 43 72 34 149 0.10 49 Mills Godwin 8 7 51 70 49 54 58 37 149 0.10 50 Culpeper County 10 6 45 72 45 51 60 42 153 0.10 51 Edison 13 3 30 90 19 46 87 20 153 0.10 52 Osbourn Park 8 7 43 55 53 47 54 53 154 0.10 53 McLean 5 10 42 13 65 55 32 75 162 0.10 54 Stafford 9 6 47 76 50 52 71 47 170 0.10 55 T.C. Williams 10 7 44 56 26 42 97 33 172 0.10 56 Rock Ridge 6 9 74 48 57 65 45 64 174 0.10 57 Clover Hill 7 8 68 98 63 66 62 51 179 0.10 58 West Springfield 2 12 65 11 80 60 24 96 180 0.10 59 Potomac Falls 4 11 66 31 75 63 37 82 182 0.10 60 Charlottesville 10 7 50 59 47 49 103 31 183 0.10 61 Lee-Davis 3 10 75 49 82 67 49 67 183 0.10 62 Riverbend 7 8 70 93 68 64 61 60 185 0.10 63 Cosby 7 7 72 101 58 62 69 56 187 0.10 64 Liberty Christia 3 11 86 36 52 58 85 45 188 0.10 65 George Mason 4 11 71 28 74 59 57 74 190 0.10 66 Courtland 7 4 46 91 39 84 70 38 192 0.10 67 Stonewall Jackso 11 6 37 65 42 50 96 49 195 0.10 68 Forest Park 6 10 83 89 84 75 50 72 197 0.10 69 Eastern View 5 6 63 79 55 68 89 52 209 0.10 70 Herndon 2 10 55 12 67 72 53 84 209 0.10 71 Brentsville 6 8 64 78 69 70 75 66 211 0.10 72 Fairfax 3 10 56 19 61 73 55 83 211 0.10 73 Patrick Henry As 6 8 62 86 60 79 78 54 211 0.10 74 Monticello 6 9 61 60 79 61 91 61 213 0.10 75 Fauquier 4 9 49 44 71 69 76 71 216 0.10 76 Washington-Lee 3 12 77 37 87 78 48 91 217 0.10 77 West Potomac 4 8 69 50 59 71 82 68 221 0.10 78 Hayfield 3 9 59 32 64 76 74 73 223 0.10 79 Cave Spring 3 10 87 92 86 80 67 79 226 0.10 80 Mount Vernon 3 9 73 38 72 74 73 81 228 0.10 81 Powhatan 4 11 85 61 73 77 90 62 229 0.10 82 Monacan 1 13 98 64 100 91 43 98 232 0.10 83 Hylton 4 10 79 81 85 82 68 86 236 0.10 84 Massaponax 3 12 76 62 98 83 59 97 239 0.10 85 Annandale 1 11 81 33 90 81 65 94 240 0.10 86 Glen Allen 4 10 78 87 91 86 77 77 240 0.10 87 Franklin County 5 10 90 103 81 90 84 80 254 0.10 88 J.E.B. Stuart 4 9 88 83 78 88 88 78 254 0.10 89 Manchester 1 13 100 74 99 92 63 101 256 0.10 90 Thos Jefferson 5 8 82 94 70 89 98 69 256 0.10 91 Park View 3 11 91 46 89 85 83 89 257 0.10 92 James Monroe 0 13 101 54 104 94 66 103 263 0.10 93 Liberty-Bealeton 1 11 96 57 96 93 80 93 266 0.10 94 Osbourn 4 11 84 69 88 87 93 88 268 0.10 95 Potomac-Dumfries 3 12 94 97 93 95 79 95 269 0.10 96 Robert E Lee 2 9 92 73 76 96 99 76 271 0.10 97 William Byrd 2 12 95 84 92 98 92 87 277 0.10 98 Falls Church 2 12 89 68 83 100 94 85 279 0.10 99 William Fleming 0 14 104 77 97 99 81 99 279 0.10 100 Gar-field 1 12 102 95 94 101 102 90 293 0.10 101 Fluvanna County 1 13 93 58 102 97 101 100 298 0.10 102 Hermitage 1 11 99 96 95 102 104 92 298 0.10 103 Wakefield HS 1 13 97 99 101 103 95 104 302 0.10 104 Freedom-Woodbrid 0 13 103 104 103 104 100 102 306 0.10