2016 boys Massachusetts MIAA East/Ce
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Dover-Sherborn TriVal 21 2 3 10 2 2 3 2 7 4.00 2 Concord Carlisle Dual County 18 3 9 9 5 5 2 5 12 0.10 3 Reading Middlesex 19 2 5 26 6 8 13 6 27 2.00 4 Catholic Memoria CathCon 16 6 12 7 12 9 8 15 32 0.10 5 Winchester Middlesex 16 6 19 16 27 19 1 23 43 3.00 6 Minnechaug Wheel 18 2 7 47 10 13 21 10 44 1.00 7 Grafton MidMass 19 6 18 37 36 14 9 25 48 1.00 8 Medfield TriVal 19 5 2 5 4 3 43 4 50 11.00 9 Beverly Northeast 21 2 21 49 7 12 32 7 51 0.10 10 St Johns Shrewsb Cathlc 15 7 25 14 25 21 4 28 53 0.10 11 Westwood TriVal 16 6 15 22 16 31 10 14 55 0.10 12 Cohasset SShore 14 8 33 12 35 11 11 34 56 0.10 13 Weston Dual County 17 4 28 44 15 26 18 12 56 0.10 14 Falmouth HS Atlantic 18 3 27 68 18 17 20 20 57 0.10 15 Westborough MidWacA 16 3 23 36 21 10 30 17 57 0.10 16 Hanover Patriot 17 5 24 42 22 20 15 24 59 0.10 17 Lincoln-Sudbury Dual County 19 2 1 3 1 1 64 1 66 55.00 18 Boston College H CathCon 19 4 4 4 3 4 66 3 73 8.00 19 Newton North Bay State 17 4 14 30 14 24 38 13 75 0.10 20 Hingham Patriot 21 6 8 23 8 15 55 8 78 1.00 21 Acton Boxborough Dual County 12 10 29 6 49 18 22 43 83 0.10 22 Ipswich Cape Ann 18 2 39 103 13 16 58 11 85 0.10 23 Algonquin MidWacA 13 7 35 18 55 27 12 47 86 0.10 24 Norwell SShore 15 6 31 46 43 23 24 39 86 0.10 25 Nantucket Cape 19 4 63 147 30 34 26 27 87 0.10 26 Billerica Merrimack 16 7 13 17 17 25 47 21 93 2.00 27 Franklin Hocomock 14 6 20 41 32 40 27 29 96 3.00 28 Hull SShore 16 5 43 107 47 32 29 42 103 0.10 29 Marshfield Atlantic 12 9 48 24 75 35 5 65 105 0.10 30 Xaverian Bros CathCon 12 8 10 1 11 6 84 18 108 5.00 31 Walpole Bay State 15 4 16 33 26 29 61 22 112 0.10 32 Littleton MidWacB 17 3 34 93 24 28 60 26 114 0.10 33 Hopkinton TriVal 11 10 56 20 56 53 7 57 117 0.10 34 Tantasqua Region MidMass 15 7 60 67 52 41 28 48 117 0.10 35 Andover HS Merrimack 13 6 32 38 39 37 40 41 118 0.10 36 Sandwich Atlantic 16 6 42 64 54 33 37 50 120 0.10 37 Groton-Dunstable MidWacA 13 7 41 34 65 36 31 54 121 0.10 38 Wayland Dual County 9 8 49 19 61 52 25 61 138 0.10 39 Triton Regional Cape Ann 15 4 57 125 38 38 70 36 144 0.10 40 Tri County RVT Mayflower 17 4 121 206 34 56 56 33 145 0.10 41 Longmeadow Wheel 18 6 6 11 9 7 133 9 149 4.00 42 Westford Academy Dual County 10 10 44 15 90 45 17 87 149 0.10 43 Medway TriVal 12 8 45 29 51 50 39 62 151 0.10 44 Duxbury Patriot 11 8 17 8 23 30 91 31 152 0.10 45 St Johns Prep Da CathCon 4 13 68 2 93 51 6 97 154 0.10 46 Wakefield Middlesex 17 3 11 85 20 43 92 19 154 0.10 47 Melrose Middlesex 13 7 40 65 62 55 44 56 155 0.10 48 Pentucket Cape Ann 13 7 83 124 73 42 52 72 166 0.10 49 Wellesley Bay State 9 10 46 21 89 66 16 89 171 0.10 50 Malden Catholic CathCon 10 10 58 35 70 76 34 64 174 0.10 51 Wachusett MidWacA 13 9 61 59 96 62 36 76 174 0.10 52 Nipmuc Regional MidMass 13 8 52 100 79 54 51 75 180 0.10 53 South Shore RVT Mayflower 14 5 136 205 50 60 72 53 185 0.10 54 Newburyport Cape Ann 11 8 76 98 88 57 45 85 187 0.10 55 Mount Greylock Berkshr 18 2 22 123 19 22 162 16 200 0.10 56 Old Colony RVT Mayflower 15 6 149 194 57 80 62 58 200 0.10 57 Lynnfield Cape Ann 12 5 64 113 53 44 104 55 203 0.10 58 King Philip Hocomock 11 9 51 51 85 65 46 95 206 0.10 59 Scituate Patriot 11 11 66 56 105 73 23 111 207 0.10 60 Tyngsborough MidWacB 15 5 50 112 48 49 108 51 208 0.10 61 Sacred Heart-Kin Mayflower 14 6 148 196 60 67 83 63 213 0.10 62 Worcester Combin MidMass 11 8 77 84 87 82 50 83 215 0.10 63 Mansfield Hocomock 15 4 38 97 33 59 125 35 219 0.10 64 Manchester-Essex Cape Ann 15 8 86 138 81 58 82 81 221 0.10 65 Westfield Wheel 14 6 30 31 29 39 142 40 221 0.10 66 Foxborough Hocomock 11 7 65 76 68 78 81 69 228 0.10 67 Burlington Middlesex 9 9 78 53 94 86 53 90 229 0.10 68 North Andover Cape Ann 12 8 53 66 67 64 88 78 230 0.10 69 Barnstable Maritime 9 13 88 43 156 72 14 146 232 0.10 70 Bedford Dual County 12 7 74 104 72 88 78 68 234 0.10 71 Hamilton-Wenham Cape Ann 7 11 93 57 146 70 33 135 238 0.10 72 Ashland TriVal 10 10 70 62 77 104 48 88 240 0.10 73 Brookline Bay State 14 5 36 77 46 71 120 49 240 0.10 74 Natick Bay State 10 8 55 61 86 84 65 93 242 0.10 75 Bridgewater-Rayn Maritime 9 10 79 58 101 85 57 102 244 0.10 76 Shrewsbury MidWacA 8 12 69 25 154 74 41 133 248 0.10 77 Cardinal Spellma Catholic 14 4 82 149 40 69 145 37 251 0.10 78 Abington SShore 12 7 72 136 74 87 94 74 255 0.10 79 Needham Bay State 11 8 26 13 42 47 156 52 255 0.10 80 Masconomet Cape Ann 8 12 94 39 147 68 35 154 257 0.10 81 Old Rochester Re SoCoast 11 6 99 155 69 91 101 71 263 0.10 82 North Reading Cape Ann 11 10 95 121 120 89 67 110 266 0.10 83 Marlborough MidWacC 15 4 47 137 37 75 155 38 268 0.10 84 Martha's Vineyar EasternAC 9 9 109 115 109 93 73 103 269 0.10 85 Mystic Valley Ch Commonwealth 12 6 126 182 66 77 126 66 269 0.10 86 Pittsfield Berkshr 12 7 96 132 44 61 164 45 270 0.10 87 Bishop Feehan EasternAC 15 4 37 118 41 46 184 44 274 0.10 88 South Hadley Wheel 5 13 111 28 145 95 19 160 274 0.10 89 Waltham Dual County 11 10 71 69 111 97 76 105 278 0.10 90 Central Catholic Merrimack 9 11 75 48 102 94 71 117 282 0.10 91 Lexington Middlesex 10 10 54 27 78 79 127 77 283 0.10 92 Shawsheen Valley Commonwealth 17 6 110 164 45 48 192 46 286 0.10 93 Pope Francis Valley 13 9 87 129 82 96 105 86 287 0.10 94 Gloucester Northeast 8 9 116 110 113 100 95 96 291 0.10 95 Arlington Middlesex 10 11 92 75 124 101 75 120 296 0.10 96 Chelmsford Merrimack 8 10 73 60 112 99 79 127 305 0.10 97 Chicopee Comp Suburb 15 3 107 191 28 98 179 30 307 0.10 98 Bourne SoCoast 18 4 89 179 31 92 185 32 309 0.10 99 Watertown Middlesex 7 11 100 72 134 109 59 142 310 0.10 100 Weymouth Bay State 7 12 91 50 155 111 42 158 311 0.10 101 Marblehead Northeast 10 10 59 52 92 63 159 92 314 0.10 102 Upper Cape Cod R Mayflower 8 11 182 190 150 112 54 151 317 0.10 103 Leominster MidWacB 9 11 106 87 144 106 77 137 320 0.10 104 St John Paul II Cape 13 6 101 161 64 108 153 60 321 0.10 105 Canton Hocomock 11 8 84 111 84 114 119 91 324 0.10 106 Essex Tech Commonwealth 15 8 159 200 80 119 130 80 329 0.10 107 Archbishop Willi Catholic 11 10 104 135 118 103 114 115 332 0.10 108 Hoosac Valley Berkshr 9 8 158 177 95 125 115 94 334 0.10 109 Northampton Valley 12 7 67 94 63 81 183 70 334 0.10 110 St Bernard-Fitch Cathlc 15 7 62 145 71 102 160 73 335 0.10 111 Arlington Cathol Catholic 10 9 114 134 100 105 132 101 338 0.10 112 Framingham Bay State 10 10 85 73 108 115 116 107 338 0.10 113 Whitman-Hanson Patriot 10 11 105 99 123 113 102 123 338 0.10 114 Plymouth South Atlantic 10 11 129 119 121 124 90 131 345 0.10 115 Shepherd Hill MidWacB 8 12 90 86 160 121 69 157 347 0.10 116 Bishop Stang EasternAC 6 9 140 140 119 110 122 116 348 0.10 117 Plymouth North Atlantic 14 7 81 142 58 116 165 67 348 0.10 118 Wahconah Berkshr 12 9 112 153 76 83 189 79 351 0.10 119 Sharon Hocomock 9 10 80 88 116 126 109 122 357 0.10 120 Revere Northeast 15 6 141 207 59 129 173 59 361 0.10 121 Blackstone Valle Mayflower 10 9 162 169 98 120 146 98 364 0.10 122 Bristol-Plymouth Maritime 10 11 178 204 141 136 86 143 365 0.10 123 Chicopee Suburb 11 8 139 189 91 137 144 84 365 0.10 124 Peabody Northeast 8 12 127 105 159 128 87 150 365 0.10 125 Belmont Middlesex 5 13 119 71 167 138 63 166 367 0.10 126 North Middlesex MidWacB 7 11 98 81 153 118 96 155 369 0.10 127 Coyle-Cassidy EasternAC 9 9 167 163 106 130 135 106 371 0.10 128 Mashpee SShore 8 11 151 156 148 148 80 144 372 0.10 129 Dartmouth Maritime 10 9 97 127 103 117 157 99 373 0.10 130 Hopedale MidMass 9 11 108 128 138 144 106 129 379 0.10 131 Newton South Dual County 5 11 130 70 149 145 89 148 382 0.10 132 North Attleboro Hocomock 8 10 102 108 125 141 113 130 384 0.10 133 NE Metro VoTech Commonwealth 7 8 163 186 97 135 150 100 385 0.10 134 Braintree Bay State 5 13 118 45 164 133 85 168 386 0.10 135 East Longmeadow Valley 8 10 113 122 107 150 124 112 386 0.10 136 Nauset Atlantic 5 15 134 95 193 131 68 189 388 0.10 137 Nashoba Regional MidWacA 3 17 120 40 211 139 49 202 390 0.10 138 Bishop Fenwick Catholic 8 10 124 151 129 127 139 125 391 0.10 139 Georgetown Cape Ann 5 13 157 120 173 123 103 173 399 0.10 140 Pembroke Patriot 8 10 122 117 110 132 149 118 399 0.10 141 Agawam Valley 5 13 125 74 161 143 97 165 405 0.10 142 Bromfield School MidWacC 8 10 131 150 130 152 131 126 409 0.10 143 Monument Mountai Berkshr 10 9 153 148 115 90 210 109 409 0.10 144 Amherst-Pelham Wheel 7 13 115 55 135 107 154 149 410 0.10 145 Apponequet SoCoast 9 10 133 158 126 151 141 121 413 0.10 146 Oliver Ames Hocomock 10 10 123 133 104 153 152 114 419 0.10 147 Swampscott Northeast 11 10 145 165 122 122 178 119 419 0.10 148 Granby Suburb 8 9 165 187 114 155 158 108 421 0.10 149 Oakmont Regional MidWacB 6 10 103 116 139 142 140 141 423 0.10 150 Austin Prep Catholic 6 12 137 130 162 146 121 162 429 0.10 151 East Bridgewater SShore 6 10 160 143 137 161 143 128 432 0.10 152 Tewksbury Memori Merrimack 8 13 138 101 168 140 123 169 432 0.10 153 Holliston TriVal 3 15 117 32 174 159 100 178 437 0.10 154 Wilmington Middlesex 2 14 150 63 178 163 93 181 437 0.10 155 Norwood Bay State 2 16 155 54 202 160 74 205 439 0.10 156 Sturgis Charter Cape 5 6 161 184 83 154 205 82 441 0.10 157 Cambridge Rindge Greater Bosto 4 14 135 90 180 171 98 175 444 0.10 158 Northbridge MidMass 5 12 146 109 163 149 134 161 444 0.10 159 Whittier Vo Tech Commonwealth 8 12 164 172 132 134 177 134 445 0.10 160 Lunenburg MidWacC 7 10 144 144 133 147 161 138 446 0.10 161 Woburn Middlesex 4 13 128 82 171 168 110 170 448 0.10 162 Haverhill Merrimack 12 11 132 154 127 156 163 136 455 0.10 163 Southeastern RVT Mayflower 6 14 194 203 182 170 107 180 457 0.10 164 Salem Northeast 7 10 183 181 131 158 166 139 463 0.10 165 Rockland Patriot 6 10 147 139 140 169 167 132 468 0.10 166 Montachusett RVT Mayflower 11 9 169 202 99 166 203 104 473 0.10 167 Dennis-Yarmouth Atlantic 3 17 143 89 210 157 111 210 478 0.10 168 Hudson MidWacC 5 14 171 126 183 172 129 182 483 0.10 169 Nashoba Valley T Commonwealth 10 11 188 208 142 167 171 145 483 0.10 170 Boston Latin Sch Dual County 1 16 177 78 203 186 99 199 484 0.10 171 Attleboro Hocomock 4 14 156 106 179 173 137 183 493 0.10 172 Bishop Connolly Mayflower 1 15 207 193 198 183 117 198 498 0.10 173 West Springfield Valley 1 17 191 92 204 180 112 208 500 0.10 174 Danvers Northeast 2 16 168 83 195 162 151 188 501 0.10 175 St Mary's-Lynn Catholic 6 12 176 162 166 164 176 164 504 0.10 176 Blue Hills RVT Mayflower 2 16 206 195 205 184 118 203 505 0.10 177 Winthrop Northeast 9 10 186 212 128 181 202 124 507 0.10 178 Fairhaven SoCoast 6 12 174 173 165 177 170 163 510 0.10 179 Greater Lowell V Commonwealth 9 11 179 213 143 176 190 147 513 0.10 180 North Quincy Patriot 2 15 166 102 186 187 138 194 519 0.10 181 Norton TriVal 7 9 154 176 117 192 214 113 519 0.10 182 Cape Cod Tech Cape 6 10 187 185 136 185 195 140 520 0.10 183 Silver Lake Patriot 1 17 175 96 207 188 128 211 527 0.10 184 Stoneham Middlesex 4 15 181 131 185 195 148 185 528 0.10 185 Dracut Merrimack 7 13 142 141 169 174 187 171 532 0.10 186 Monson Suburb 4 12 197 188 170 191 174 167 532 0.10 187 Belchertown Suburb 6 12 172 166 157 165 212 156 533 0.10 188 St Peter Marian Cathlc 2 14 185 114 189 178 168 190 536 0.10 189 Medford Greater Bosto 7 14 170 167 177 189 172 177 538 0.10 190 Milford Hocomock 0 18 200 91 212 194 136 212 542 0.10 191 Lowell Merrimack 8 14 152 157 175 182 186 176 544 0.10 192 Falmouth Academy Cape 2 10 202 174 152 198 199 153 550 0.10 193 Taconic Berkshr 3 15 195 159 187 175 191 186 552 0.10 194 Assabet Valley R Mayflower 2 14 203 198 188 193 175 187 555 0.10 195 AMSA Charter Indep 7 11 173 201 151 196 209 152 557 0.10 196 Milton Bay State 0 18 190 79 213 197 147 213 557 0.10 197 Lynn-Classical/E Northeast 5 11 201 214 158 202 208 159 569 0.10 198 Lowell Catholic Catholic 4 14 193 171 184 190 197 184 571 0.10 199 Minuteman RVT Commonwealth 2 12 205 211 172 206 194 172 572 0.10 200 Gr.New Bedford R SoCoast 2 16 196 180 206 201 169 204 574 0.10 201 New Bedford Maritime 6 14 180 168 181 199 196 179 574 0.10 202 Sturgis Charter Cape 0 12 209 170 176 210 200 174 584 0.10 203 Saugus Northeast 3 15 198 197 197 200 188 197 585 0.10 204 Bellingham TriVal 2 19 184 80 201 179 207 209 595 0.10 205 McCann Tech Berkshr 1 16 210 183 208 207 182 206 595 0.10 206 St. Mary's Westf Suburb 1 16 212 192 209 209 180 207 596 0.10 207 Lynn-Vocational Commonwealth 0 14 214 209 192 211 193 193 597 0.10 208 Matignon Catholic 4 15 192 178 194 203 201 195 599 0.10 209 Taunton Hocomock 1 19 199 146 214 205 181 214 600 0.10 210 Methuen Merrimack 4 16 189 160 199 204 198 201 603 0.10 211 Dighton-Rehoboth SoCoast 0 14 211 175 190 213 206 191 610 0.10 212 Fitchburg MidWacC 0 15 204 152 200 208 204 200 612 0.10 213 Everett Greater Bosto 0 14 213 199 191 214 213 192 619 0.10 214 Malden Greater Bosto 3 15 208 210 196 212 211 196 619 0.10