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Conf = L-1 Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Patriots Coach = Jay NegusGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.9351044 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Sachem North NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 9, 93.0) 7- 5 331 A Commack NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 92.9) 8- 5 402 A Chaminade NY LI AAA-AA (11- 7, 93.3) 9- 8 406 A West Islip NY A Sec 11 (14- 3, 96.9) 7- 9 408 H Middle Country NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 82.8) 11- 4 409 H Yorktown NY B Sec 1 (16- 7, 99.9) 8- 2 415 A Huntington NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 90.5) 10- 5 418 H Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 (14- 3, 99.9) 13-12 420 H Riverhead NY A Sec 11 ( 7- 9, 88.9) 7- 5 426 A Connetquot NY A Sec 11 (16- 3, 98.2) 7- 8 o 428 H Sachem East NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 86.9) 9- 6 430 H Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (12- 6, 95.9) 1- 3 503 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 8, 90.6) 10- 8 505 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A Sec 11 (12- 6, 93.3) 7- 4 510 A Walt Whitman NY A Sec 11 (12- 7, 91.6) 10- 7 512 A Northport NY A Sec 11 ( 7-10, 89.6) 11- 8 520 H Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (12- 6, 95.9) 8- 4 525 N Walt Whitman NY A Sec 11 (12- 7, 91.6) 9- 2 601 N Connetquot NY A Sec 11 (16- 3, 98.2) 13- 5 604 N Syosset NY A Sec 8 (16- 3, 99.5) 9- 5 608 N Lakeland/Panas NY A Sec 1 (19- 3, 99.5) 16- 6 611 N Victor NY A Sec 5 (22- 0, 99.9) 5- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Sachem North 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.49 331 A Commack 8- 5 3 5 - -2.42 402 A Chaminade 9- 8 1 5 n/a 406 A West Islip 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.44 408 H Middle Country 11- 4 7 16 - -3.00 409 H Yorktown 8- 2 6 0 n/a 415 A Huntington 10- 5 5 7 - -2.83 418 H Smithtown East 13-12 1 0 1.44 420 H Riverhead 7- 5 2 10 --- -8.00 426 A Connetquot 7- 8 o -1 0 -1.12 428 H Sachem East 9- 6 3 12 --- -7.00 430 H Smithtown West 1- 3 -2 3 -- -5.54 503 A Half Hollow Hills West 10- 8 2 7 -- -5.75 505 H Half Hollow Hills East 7- 4 3 6 - -3.15 510 A Walt Whitman 10- 7 3 6 - -3.78 512 A Northport 11- 8 3 8 -- -5.73 520 H Smithtown West 8- 4 4 3 0.46 525 N Walt Whitman 9- 2 7 7 -0.33 601 N Connetquot 13- 5 8 0 +++ 7.32 604 N Syosset 9- 5 4 0 n/a 608 N Lakeland/Panas 16- 6 10 0 n/a 611 N Victor 5- 7 -2 0 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H Riverhead 7- 5 2 10 --- -8.00 428 H Sachem East 9- 6 3 12 --- -7.00 329 H Sachem North 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.49 402 A Chaminade 9- 8 1 5 -- 430 H Smithtown West 1- 3 -2 3 -- -5.54 503 A Half Hollow Hills West 10- 8 2 7 -- -5.75 512 A Northport 11- 8 3 8 -- -5.73 331 A Commack 8- 5 3 5 - -2.42 406 A West Islip 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.44 408 H Middle Country 11- 4 7 16 - -3.00 415 A Huntington 10- 5 5 7 - -2.83 505 H Half Hollow Hills East 7- 4 3 6 - -3.15 510 A Walt Whitman 10- 7 3 6 - -3.78OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Yorktown 8- 2 6 0 +++ 601 N Connetquot 13- 5 8 0 +++ 7.32 608 N Lakeland/Panas 16- 6 10 0 +++ 604 N Syosset 9- 5 4 0 ++/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.90 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 86.15 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.67 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 17.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.180.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 2 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0