Conf =  MidWacA                   Region = MA 2  CenWest          
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Nate Skermont         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8255157    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Wachusett              MA 2  CenWest (13- 9, 80.1)     9-10  o
 412 A Nashoba Regional       MA 2  CenWest ( 3-17, 71.8)     6- 3   
 414 A Westborough            MA 2  CenWest (16- 3, 87.6)     4- 8   
 416 H Marshfield             MA 1  South   (12- 9, 82.1)     4- 7   
 419 H Grafton                MA 3  CenWest (19- 6, 88.3)     4-14   
 421 A Shepherd Hill          MA 2  CenWest ( 8-12, 75.9)     8- 4   
 423 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2  CenWest (15- 7, 87.0)     7-12   
 426 A Groton-Dunstable       MA 3  CenEast (13- 7, 83.5)     4-14   
 428 H Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 84.4)     5- 9   
 430 A Minnechaug             MA 2  West    (18- 2, 91.5)     7- 9   
 505 A Wachusett              MA 2  CenWest (13- 9, 80.1)    10- 7   
 506 A Leominster             MA 2  CenWest ( 9-11, 74.3)    12- 6   
 510 H Nashoba Regional       MA 2  CenWest ( 3-17, 71.8)    11- 5   
 512 H Westborough            MA 2  CenWest (16- 3, 87.6)     9-10   
 514 A Sharon                 MA 2  CenEast ( 9-10, 77.9)    12- 7   
 517 H Groton-Dunstable       MA 3  CenEast (13- 7, 83.5)     7- 8 2o
 519 A Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 84.4)     6- 4   
 521 H Westfield              MA 2  West    (14- 6, 85.8)     4- 7   
 523 A Marlborough            MA 2  CenWest (15- 4, 82.3)     9-14   
 525 A North Middlesex        MA 2  CenWest ( 7-11, 75.0)    10- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Wachusett               9-10  o   -1     0          -0.59
   412 A Nashoba Regional        6- 3       3     6    -     -3.23
   414 A Westborough             4- 8      -4    -9    ++     5.64
   416 H Marshfield              4- 7      -3    -2          -0.59
   419 H Grafton                 4-14     -10    -8          -1.40
   421 A Shepherd Hill           8- 4       4     2           1.89
   423 H St Johns Shrewsbury     7-12      -5    -7    +      2.24
   426 A Groton-Dunstable        4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.44
   428 H Algonquin               5- 9      -4    -4           0.71
   430 A Minnechaug              7- 9      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   505 A Wachusett              10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.15
   506 A Leominster             12- 6       6     3    +      2.29
   510 H Nashoba Regional       11- 5       6     7          -1.97
   512 H Westborough             9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.90
   514 A Sharon                 12- 7       5     0    ++     4.95
   517 H Groton-Dunstable        7- 8 2o   -1    -3    +      2.82
   519 A Algonquin               6- 4       2    -6    +++    8.45
   521 H Westfield               4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.08
   523 A Marlborough             9-14      -5    -4          -0.68
   525 A North Middlesex        10- 8       2     3          -1.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Groton-Dunstable        4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.44
   412 A Nashoba Regional        6- 3       3     6    -     -3.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Minnechaug              7- 9      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   512 H Westborough             9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.90
   519 A Algonquin               6- 4       2    -6    +++    8.45
   414 A Westborough             4- 8      -4    -9    ++     5.64
   505 A Wachusett              10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.15
   514 A Sharon                 12- 7       5     0    ++     4.95
   423 H St Johns Shrewsbury     7-12      -5    -7    +      2.24
   506 A Leominster             12- 6       6     3    +      2.29
   517 H Groton-Dunstable        7- 8 2o   -1    -3    +      2.82
   521 H Westfield               4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.85 Local Power Rank...........    69
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.96 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    74
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   170
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   154
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/