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Conf = MidWacA Region = MA 2 CenWest Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Nate SkermontGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.8255157 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Wachusett MA 2 CenWest (13- 9, 80.1) 9-10 o 412 A Nashoba Regional MA 2 CenWest ( 3-17, 71.8) 6- 3 414 A Westborough MA 2 CenWest (16- 3, 87.6) 4- 8 416 H Marshfield MA 1 South (12- 9, 82.1) 4- 7 419 H Grafton MA 3 CenWest (19- 6, 88.3) 4-14 421 A Shepherd Hill MA 2 CenWest ( 8-12, 75.9) 8- 4 423 H St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 CenWest (15- 7, 87.0) 7-12 426 A Groton-Dunstable MA 3 CenEast (13- 7, 83.5) 4-14 428 H Algonquin MA 2 CenWest (13- 7, 84.4) 5- 9 430 A Minnechaug MA 2 West (18- 2, 91.5) 7- 9 505 A Wachusett MA 2 CenWest (13- 9, 80.1) 10- 7 506 A Leominster MA 2 CenWest ( 9-11, 74.3) 12- 6 510 H Nashoba Regional MA 2 CenWest ( 3-17, 71.8) 11- 5 512 H Westborough MA 2 CenWest (16- 3, 87.6) 9-10 514 A Sharon MA 2 CenEast ( 9-10, 77.9) 12- 7 517 H Groton-Dunstable MA 3 CenEast (13- 7, 83.5) 7- 8 2o 519 A Algonquin MA 2 CenWest (13- 7, 84.4) 6- 4 521 H Westfield MA 2 West (14- 6, 85.8) 4- 7 523 A Marlborough MA 2 CenWest (15- 4, 82.3) 9-14 525 A North Middlesex MA 2 CenWest ( 7-11, 75.0) 10- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Wachusett 9-10 o -1 0 -0.59 412 A Nashoba Regional 6- 3 3 6 - -3.23 414 A Westborough 4- 8 -4 -9 ++ 5.64 416 H Marshfield 4- 7 -3 -2 -0.59 419 H Grafton 4-14 -10 -8 -1.40 421 A Shepherd Hill 8- 4 4 2 1.89 423 H St Johns Shrewsbury 7-12 -5 -7 + 2.24 426 A Groton-Dunstable 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.44 428 H Algonquin 5- 9 -4 -4 0.71 430 A Minnechaug 7- 9 -2 -13 +++ 8.00 505 A Wachusett 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.15 506 A Leominster 12- 6 6 3 + 2.29 510 H Nashoba Regional 11- 5 6 7 -1.97 512 H Westborough 9-10 -1 -7 +++ 6.90 514 A Sharon 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.95 517 H Groton-Dunstable 7- 8 2o -1 -3 + 2.82 519 A Algonquin 6- 4 2 -6 +++ 8.45 521 H Westfield 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.08 523 A Marlborough 9-14 -5 -4 -0.68 525 A North Middlesex 10- 8 2 3 -1.03UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Groton-Dunstable 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.44 412 A Nashoba Regional 6- 3 3 6 - -3.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Minnechaug 7- 9 -2 -13 +++ 8.00 512 H Westborough 9-10 -1 -7 +++ 6.90 519 A Algonquin 6- 4 2 -6 +++ 8.45 414 A Westborough 4- 8 -4 -9 ++ 5.64 505 A Wachusett 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.15 514 A Sharon 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.95 423 H St Johns Shrewsbury 7-12 -5 -7 + 2.24 506 A Leominster 12- 6 6 3 + 2.29 517 H Groton-Dunstable 7- 8 2o -1 -3 + 2.82 521 H Westfield 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.08/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.85 Local Power Rank........... 69 Local SOS Rating......... 60.96 Local SOS Rank............. 25 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 74 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 170 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 154 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0