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Conf = Cathlc Region = MA 3 CenWest Nickname = A Saints Coach = Mike KelleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.1076965 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Lunenburg MA 3 CenEast ( 7-10, 68.0) 17- 7 409 A Lowell Catholic MA 3 North ( 4-14, 59.6) 18- 2 411 A Hudson MA 3 CenEast ( 5-14, 63.9) 20- 6 414 A Bromfield School MA 3 CenEast ( 8-10, 70.7) 7- 8 o 416 A Nashoba Regional MA 2 CenWest ( 3-17, 71.8) 7- 6 420 A Leominster MA 2 CenWest ( 9-11, 74.3) 11-12 2o 423 H Hopedale MA 3 CenEast ( 9-11, 74.1) 8- 6 425 H St Peter Marian MA 3 CenWest ( 2-14, 61.9) 17- 3 427 H Pope Francis MA 3 West (13- 9, 77.2) 13- 8 503 H Wachusett MA 2 CenWest (13- 9, 80.1) 10-12 504 H North Middlesex MA 2 CenWest ( 7-11, 75.0) 14-13 509 A St Peter Marian MA 3 CenWest ( 2-14, 61.9) 18- 3 510 H Worcester Combined MA 2 CenWest (11- 8, 78.3) 10- 7 513 H Leominster MA 2 CenWest ( 9-11, 74.3) 10-11 o 514 H Hudson MA 3 CenEast ( 5-14, 63.9) 22- 3 516 H Lowell Catholic MA 3 North ( 4-14, 59.6) 18- 2 520 A Nipmuc Regional MA 3 CenWest (13- 8, 81.6) 6- 9 521 H Bromfield School MA 3 CenEast ( 8-10, 70.7) 12- 7 523 A North Middlesex MA 2 CenWest ( 7-11, 75.0) 4- 8 524 A Hopedale MA 3 CenEast ( 9-11, 74.1) 15- 6 604 H Pope Francis MA 3 West (13- 9, 77.2) 14- 9 607 A Mount Greylock MA 3 West (18- 2, 87.7) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Lunenburg 17- 7 10 12 0.00 409 A Lowell Catholic 18- 2 16 19 0.00 411 A Hudson 20- 6 14 15 0.00 414 A Bromfield School 7- 8 o -1 8 --- -9.43 416 A Nashoba Regional 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.41 420 A Leominster 11-12 2o -1 4 -- -5.88 423 H Hopedale 8- 6 2 6 -- -4.84 425 H St Peter Marian 17- 3 14 19 0.00 427 H Pope Francis 13- 8 5 3 1.32 503 H Wachusett 10-12 -2 0 - -2.77 504 H North Middlesex 14-13 1 5 -- -4.95 509 A St Peter Marian 18- 3 15 17 0.00 510 H Worcester Combined 10- 7 3 2 0.42 513 H Leominster 10-11 o -1 6 --- -7.62 514 H Hudson 22- 3 19 16 0.00 516 H Lowell Catholic 18- 2 16 21 0.00 520 A Nipmuc Regional 6- 9 -3 -2 -0.52 521 H Bromfield School 12- 7 5 10 -- -5.00 523 A North Middlesex 4- 8 -4 4 --- -8.21 524 A Hopedale 15- 6 9 5 + 3.90 604 H Pope Francis 14- 9 5 3 1.32 607 A Mount Greylock 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 7.53UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A Bromfield School 7- 8 o -1 8 --- -9.43 416 A Nashoba Regional 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.41 513 H Leominster 10-11 o -1 6 --- -7.62 523 A North Middlesex 4- 8 -4 4 --- -8.21 420 A Leominster 11-12 2o -1 4 -- -5.88 423 H Hopedale 8- 6 2 6 -- -4.84 504 H North Middlesex 14-13 1 5 -- -4.95 521 H Bromfield School 12- 7 5 10 -- -5.00 503 H Wachusett 10-12 -2 0 - -2.77OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 607 A Mount Greylock 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 7.53 524 A Hopedale 15- 6 9 5 + 3.90/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.03 Local Power Rank........... 62 Local SOS Rating......... 44.62 Local SOS Rank............. 145 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 102 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 175 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 71 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3