Conf =  Cathlc                    Region = MA 2  CenWest          
   Nickname = A Pioneers             Coach  =   Justin O'Leary        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9627991    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Worcester Combined     MA 2  CenWest (11- 8, 78.3)    11- 1   
 411 H Mansfield              MA 1  South   (15- 4, 84.0)    14- 5   
 413 H St Peter Marian        MA 3  CenWest ( 2-14, 61.9)    16- 0   
 416 H Wachusett              MA 2  CenWest (13- 9, 80.1)    10- 6   
 419 H Westborough            MA 2  CenWest (16- 3, 87.6)     3- 9   
 421 H Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (19- 4, 94.3)     6- 7   
 423 A Shrewsbury             MA 2  CenWest ( 8-12, 78.9)    12- 7   
 428 H South Hadley           MA 2  West    ( 5-13, 73.3)    13- 4   
 502 A Westford Academy       MA 1  North   (10-10, 83.1)    12- 7   
 504 H Minnechaug             MA 2  West    (18- 2, 91.5)     4-11   
 507 A Groton-Dunstable       MA 3  CenEast (13- 7, 83.5)    11- 6   
 509 H Nashoba Regional       MA 2  CenWest ( 3-17, 71.8)    13- 1   
 513 A Grafton                MA 3  CenWest (19- 6, 88.3)     9- 6   
 514 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 4-13, 79.2)     8-11   
 519 A Longmeadow             MA 2  West    (18- 6, 91.9)    11-12   
 521 H Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 84.4)    10- 9   
 523 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1  South   (12- 8, 90.1)    10-12   
 525 A Marlborough            MA 2  CenWest (15- 4, 82.3)    13-12   
 531 H Worcester Combined     MA 2  CenWest (11- 8, 78.3)    13- 3   
 603 H Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 84.4)    12- 4   
 607 A Minnechaug             MA 2  West    (18- 2, 91.5)    10- 7   
 611 N Longmeadow             MA 2  West    (18- 6, 91.9)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Worcester Combined     11- 1      10     9           0.49
   411 H Mansfield              14- 5       9     3    ++     5.15
   413 H St Peter Marian        16- 0      16    25           0.00
   416 H Wachusett              10- 6       4     7    -     -3.70
   419 H Westborough             3- 9      -6     0    ---   -6.21
   421 H Boston College HS       6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.50
   423 A Shrewsbury             12- 7       5     7    -     -2.24
   428 H South Hadley           13- 4       9    14          -1.00
   502 A Westford Academy       12- 7       5     2    +      2.05
   504 H Minnechaug              4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.28
   507 A Groton-Dunstable       11- 6       5     2    +      2.45
   509 H Nashoba Regional       13- 1      12    16           0.00
   513 A Grafton                 9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.23
   514 H St Johns Prep Danvers   8-11      -3     8    ---  -11.65
   519 A Longmeadow             11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   521 H Algonquin              10- 9       1     3    -     -2.40
   523 H Xaverian Bros          10-12      -2    -2           0.30
   525 A Marlborough            13-12       1     3    -     -2.79
   531 H Worcester Combined     13- 3      10     9           0.49
   603 H Algonquin              12- 4       8     3    ++     4.60
   607 A Minnechaug             10- 7       3    -5    +++    8.46
   611 N Longmeadow              5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Westborough             3- 9      -6     0    ---   -6.21
   514 H St Johns Prep Danvers   8-11      -3     8    ---  -11.65
   611 N Longmeadow              5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.10
   416 H Wachusett              10- 6       4     7    -     -3.70
   423 A Shrewsbury             12- 7       5     7    -     -2.24
   504 H Minnechaug              4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.28
   521 H Algonquin              10- 9       1     3    -     -2.40
   525 A Marlborough            13-12       1     3    -     -2.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   607 A Minnechaug             10- 7       3    -5    +++    8.46
   411 H Mansfield              14- 5       9     3    ++     5.15
   421 H Boston College HS       6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.50
   513 A Grafton                 9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.23
   519 A Longmeadow             11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   603 H Algonquin              12- 4       8     3    ++     4.60
   502 A Westford Academy       12- 7       5     2    +      2.05
   507 A Groton-Dunstable       11- 6       5     2    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.96 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.16 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   178
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/