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Conf = L-1 Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows Coach = Paul BenwayGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.4844360 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Archbishop Spalding MD A MIAA ( 6-12, 84.3) 9-10 326 A Mamaroneck NY A Sec 1 (13- 6, 94.6) 17- 7 329 A Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (18- 4, 98.9) 5- 7 401 A Huntington NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 90.5) 8-11 406 H Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (12- 6, 95.9) 4- 6 408 A Sachem East NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 86.9) 14- 2 411 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A Sec 11 (12- 6, 93.3) 5- 6 413 H Connetquot NY A Sec 11 (16- 3, 98.2) 8- 9 420 H Lindenhurst NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 83.9) 17- 9 426 H Northport NY A Sec 11 ( 7-10, 89.6) 12- 8 428 H William Floyd NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 8, 86.2) 18-10 430 A West Islip NY A Sec 11 (14- 3, 96.9) 5- 6 503 H Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 89.3) 12-10 505 A Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 (14- 3, 99.9) 7-12 507 H North Babylon NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 81.7) 15- 7 510 A Riverhead NY A Sec 11 ( 7- 9, 88.9) 9- 6 517 H Huntington NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 90.5) 15- 8 520 A Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 (14- 3, 99.9) 10-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A Archbishop Spalding 9-10 -1 7 n/a 326 A Mamaroneck 17- 7 10 -2 n/a 329 A Ward Melville 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.49 401 A Huntington 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.89 406 H Smithtown West 4- 6 -2 -2 0.39 408 A Sachem East 14- 2 12 5 ++ 4.49 411 A Half Hollow Hills East 5- 6 -1 0 -0.11 413 H Connetquot 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.70 420 H Lindenhurst 17- 9 8 9 -1.62 426 H Northport 12- 8 4 3 0.09 428 H William Floyd 18-10 8 7 0.69 430 A West Islip 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.50 503 H Bay Shore 12-10 2 4 - -2.21 505 A Smithtown East 7-12 -5 -7 + 2.48 507 H North Babylon 15- 7 8 11 - -2.00 510 A Riverhead 9- 6 3 3 -0.47 517 H Huntington 15- 8 7 3 + 4.00 520 A Smithtown East 10-16 -6 -7 1.48UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A Archbishop Spalding 9-10 -1 7 --- 401 A Huntington 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.89 503 H Bay Shore 12-10 2 4 - -2.21 507 H North Babylon 15- 7 8 11 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Mamaroneck 17- 7 10 -2 +++ 329 A Ward Melville 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.49 408 A Sachem East 14- 2 12 5 ++ 4.49 413 H Connetquot 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.70 430 A West Islip 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.50 505 A Smithtown East 7-12 -5 -7 + 2.48 517 H Huntington 15- 8 7 3 + 4.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.97 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 80.97 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3