Patrick Fogarty CSS           4 - 4


 
                                     Region = CN    Indep            
   Nickname = N Flames               Coach  =   David Pellarin        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   91.6035461    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 427 N Aurora                 CN    YRAA    ( 9-11, 85.6)     7- 4   
 510 N Assumption-Brantford   CN    GRHSLL  ( 7- 8, 83.8)     4- 5   
 510 N St Peter's             CN    COSSA   (19- 6, 97.1)     3- 9   
 510 N Fr. John Redmond       CN    TDCAA   (11- 8, 88.3)    10- 5   
 530 N Crestwood              CN    COSSA   ( 6- 3, 90.8)     8- 9   
 530 N Holy Cross-St Cath     CN A  NRHSAA2 (12- 6, 92.7)     5- 9   
 531 N Father Leo Austin      CN    LOSSA   (10- 9, 86.4)     9- 8  o
 531 N Silverthorn C.I.       CN    TDSSAA  ( 6- 3, 81.7)    11- 6   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 N Aurora                  7- 4       3     2           0.88
   510 N Assumption-Brantford    4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.84
   510 N St Peter's              3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.38
   510 N Fr. John Redmond       10- 5       5     0    ++     5.57
   530 N Crestwood               8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.13
   530 N Holy Cross-St Cath      5- 9      -4    -5           1.01
   531 N Father Leo Austin       9- 8  o    1     1          -0.26
   531 N Silverthorn C.I.       11- 6       5     6          -1.03


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 N Assumption-Brantford    4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.84


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 N Fr. John Redmond       10- 5       5     0    ++     5.57
   510 N St Peter's              3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.38
   530 N Crestwood               8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.13




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.69 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.65 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    87
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    68
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7


  
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