Oro Valley                    4 - 8


 
                                     Region = AZ 2  South            
   Nickname = Z Woverines            Coach  =   Ian Jaffe             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   80.7573013    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 224 A Desert Vista II        AZ 2  South   ( 2- 8, 74.7)     7- 8   
 304 A East Valley            AZ 2  South   ( 3- 7, 75.2)     6- 3   
 305 A Gilbert II             AZ 2  South   ( 2- 7, 71.9)     9- 7   
 308 H Chandler               AZ 2  South   ( 7- 5, 86.5)     6-14   
 310 H Mountain View          AZ 2  South   ( 5- 6, 80.5)     8- 9   
 326 A Hamilton               AZ 2  South   ( 8- 3, 93.1)     4- 9   
 409 A Mountain Pointe        AZ 2  South   ( 4- 9, 76.8)    12-11   
 411 N Horizon                AZ 2  North   ( 7- 4, 85.2)     3- 5   
 416 H Glendale               AZ 2  North   (10- 2, 94.2)     4-16   
 423 A Boulder Creek          AZ 2  North   ( 6- 6, 84.6)     8-12   
 429 N Mountain Pointe        AZ 2  South   ( 4- 9, 76.8)     8- 5   
 430 N Horizon                AZ 2  North   ( 7- 4, 85.2)    10-11  o


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Desert Vista II         7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.68
   304 A East Valley             6- 3       3     3          -0.14
   305 A Gilbert II              9- 7       2     6    --    -4.48
   308 H Chandler                6-14      -8    -7          -0.27
   310 H Mountain View           8- 9      -1    -1           0.77
   326 A Hamilton                4- 9      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   409 A Mountain Pointe        12-11       1     1          -0.49
   411 N Horizon                 3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.67
   416 H Glendale                4-16     -12   -15           0.00
   423 A Boulder Creek           8-12      -4    -6    +      2.30
   429 N Mountain Pointe         8- 5       3     1           1.29
   430 N Horizon                10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.67


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Desert Vista II         7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.68
   305 A Gilbert II              9- 7       2     6    --    -4.48


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Hamilton                4- 9      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   411 N Horizon                 3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.67
   430 N Horizon                10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.67
   423 A Boulder Creek           8-12      -4    -6    +      2.30




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.56 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.83 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7


  
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