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Conf = SWCIAC Region = CT L Nickname = T Nighthawks Coach = Scott BulkleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.3523407 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 A Fairfield Prep CT L (17- 4, 88.8) 4-15 405 A Brookfield CT M ( 9-10, 72.4) 12-10 409 A Fairfield-Ludlowe CT L (12- 7, 81.6) 6-11 412 A Stratford CT M ( 7-11, 66.2) 15- 1 416 H Conard-West Hartford CT L (11- 8, 76.3) 12- 7 418 A Joel Barlow CT M (13- 7, 84.1) 6-11 421 H Pomperaug CT M (10-11, 70.7) 19- 2 426 H Weston CT S (14- 7, 78.8) 5- 6 2o 428 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 3-13, 54.4) 19- 0 430 A Guilford CT M (14- 6, 84.4) 5-15 502 H New Fairfield CT M (11- 9, 79.6) 8- 6 505 N New Milford CT L ( 4-12, 65.7) 20- 4 507 A Glastonbury CT L (15- 4, 88.0) 5- 7 510 A Simsbury CT L (20- 2, 89.1) 6- 7 2o 512 H Staples-Westport CT L (16- 4, 88.4) 5-11 514 A Bethel CT M ( 7-11, 71.5) 6- 5 o 519 H Bethel CT M ( 7-11, 71.5) 7- 4 524 N Joel Barlow CT M (13- 7, 84.1) 13- 9 526 H Weston CT S (14- 7, 78.8) 5- 4 3o 528 A Greenwich HS CT L (11- 8, 85.9) 6-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Fairfield Prep 4-15 -11 -10 0.00 405 A Brookfield 12-10 2 5 - -3.77 409 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 6-11 -5 -3 -1.58 412 A Stratford 15- 1 14 11 0.00 416 H Conard-West Hartford 12- 7 5 3 1.54 418 A Joel Barlow 6-11 -5 -5 0.95 421 H Pomperaug 19- 2 17 9 0.98 426 H Weston 5- 6 2o -1 0 -1.93 428 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 19- 0 19 25 0.00 430 A Guilford 5-15 -10 -6 - -3.74 502 H New Fairfield 8- 6 2 0 1.86 505 N New Milford 20- 4 16 13 0.00 507 A Glastonbury 5- 7 -2 -9 +++ 7.89 510 A Simsbury 6- 7 2o -1 -10 +++ 9.00 512 H Staples-Westport 5-11 -6 -8 + 2.68 514 A Bethel 6- 5 o 1 6 -- -5.65 519 H Bethel 7- 4 3 8 -- -5.24 524 N Joel Barlow 13- 9 4 -5 +++ 9.15 526 H Weston 5- 4 3o 1 0 0.07 528 A Greenwich HS 6-20 -14 -7 - -2.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 A Bethel 6- 5 o 1 6 -- -5.65 519 H Bethel 7- 4 3 8 -- -5.24 405 A Brookfield 12-10 2 5 - -3.77 430 A Guilford 5-15 -10 -6 - -3.74 528 A Greenwich HS 6-20 -14 -7 - -2.28OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 507 A Glastonbury 5- 7 -2 -9 +++ 7.89 510 A Simsbury 6- 7 2o -1 -10 +++ 9.00 524 N Joel Barlow 13- 9 4 -5 +++ 9.15 512 H Staples-Westport 5-11 -6 -8 + 2.68/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.94 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 55.09 Local SOS Rank............. 16 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 20 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 57 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 26 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0