Northern Arizona              1 - 8


 
                                     Region = AZ 2  North            
   Nickname = Z Wolfpack             Coach  =   Matt Acker            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   75.2578964    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Arcadia                AZ 2  North   ( 9- 4, 93.4)     0-18   
 227 N Horizon                AZ 2  North   ( 7- 4, 85.2)     2-11   
 319 A Desert Mountain        AZ 2  North   ( 5- 8, 83.3)     3- 8   
 402 H Mountain Ridge         AZ 2  North   ( 7- 4, 88.2)     0-12   
 402 H Boulder Creek          AZ 2  North   ( 6- 6, 84.6)     3-19   
 409 H Glendale               AZ 2  North   (10- 2, 94.2)     3-19   
 423 H Gilbert II             AZ 2  South   ( 2- 7, 71.9)     9- 5   
 429 N Horizon                AZ 2  North   ( 7- 4, 85.2)     4-13   
 430 N Mountain Pointe        AZ 2  South   ( 4- 9, 76.8)     5- 9   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Arcadia                 0-18     -18   -22           0.00
   227 N Horizon                 2-11      -9   -14           1.00
   319 A Desert Mountain         3- 8      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   402 H Mountain Ridge          0-12     -12   -17           0.00
   402 H Boulder Creek           3-19     -16   -13           0.00
   409 H Glendale                3-19     -16   -23           0.00
   423 H Gilbert II              9- 5       4     0    ++     4.85
   429 N Horizon                 4-13      -9   -14           1.00
   430 N Mountain Pointe         5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.06


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Desert Mountain         3- 8      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   423 H Gilbert II              9- 5       4     0    ++     4.85
   430 N Mountain Pointe         5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.06




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.79 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.90 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0


  
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