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Conf = MIDWEST Region = PA Div1-S1 Nickname = A Blue Devils Coach = Mike ErmerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 99.7530212 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 328 H North Allegheny PA Div1-S2 (13- 9, 90.2) 18- 5 401 A Exeter Township PA Berks-1 ( 8-11, 85.0) 15- 3 402 A Hempfield PA Lan-Leb (12- 8, 92.7) 15- 8 406 H Kiski Prep PA Indep (16- 6, 95.6) 20-13 409 H Strath Haven PA Centrl (19- 7, 96.1) 5- 9 413 H Sewickley Academy PA Div1-S1 ( 5-11, 85.1) 11-10 o 415 H Olentangy HS OH 1 NoWest ( 9-12, 88.7) 10-11 416 H Cincinnati St Xavier OH 1 SoWest (19- 3, 99.8) 9-11 420 A Bethel Park PA Div1-S1 ( 7-11, 84.5) 12- 4 423 A Shady Side Academy PA Div1-S2 (10- 8, 89.4) 7- 8 3o 424 A Western Reserve Acad OH 1 Indep ( 5-11, 86.3) 18- 9 428 H Central Catholic PA Div1-S1 ( 2-10, 76.9) 16- 2 430 H Hill Academy II IS IndepIS ( 8- 0, 96.2) 8- 9 o 502 H Pine Richland PA Div1-S2 (14- 6, 92.5) 19-11 504 H Peters Township PA Div1-S1 (10- 8, 91.3) 10- 9 506 N Detroit Country Day MI 1 Reg3-1 (14- 8, 91.3) 7-16 507 N Univ Detroit Jesuit MI 1 Reg1-1 (11-12, 84.5) 14- 8 511 A Upper St Clair PA Div1-S1 ( 6- 7, 87.4) 13-11 519 H Fox Chapel PA Div1-S2 (10- 4, 92.7) 19- 6 523 N Pine Richland PA Div1-S2 (14- 6, 92.5) 16-10 527 N North Allegheny PA Div1-S2 (13- 9, 90.2) 7- 9 601 N State College PA Mid 1 (11- 7, 91.3) 8- 5 604 N Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (23- 4, 99.4) 5-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H North Allegheny 18- 5 13 4 ++ 5.83 401 A Exeter Township 15- 3 12 8 n/a 402 A Hempfield 15- 8 7 0 n/a 406 H Kiski Prep 20-13 7 -1 +++ 8.16 409 H Strath Haven 5- 9 -4 -1 n/a 413 H Sewickley Academy 11-10 o 1 9 --- -8.31 415 H Olentangy HS 10-11 -1 6 n/a 416 H Cincinnati St Xavier 9-11 -2 -5 n/a 420 A Bethel Park 12- 4 8 9 -1.02 423 A Shady Side Academy 7- 8 3o -1 4 -- -5.18 424 A Western Reserve Acad 18- 9 9 6 n/a 428 H Central Catholic 16- 2 14 17 0.00 430 H Hill Academy II 8- 9 o -1 -2 n/a 502 H Pine Richland 19-11 8 1 +++ 6.10 504 H Peters Township 10- 9 1 3 - -2.11 506 N Detroit Country Day 7-16 -9 2 n/a 507 N Univ Detroit Jesuit 14- 8 6 9 n/a 511 A Upper St Clair 13-11 2 6 -- -4.17 519 H Fox Chapel 19- 6 13 1 +++ 8.29 523 N Pine Richland 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.51 527 N North Allegheny 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.76 601 N State College 8- 5 3 2 n/a 604 N Manheim Township 5-17 -12 -5 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 H Sewickley Academy 11-10 o 1 9 --- -8.31 415 H Olentangy HS 10-11 -1 6 --- 506 N Detroit Country Day 7-16 -9 2 --- 423 A Shady Side Academy 7- 8 3o -1 4 -- -5.18 511 A Upper St Clair 13-11 2 6 -- -4.17 527 N North Allegheny 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.76 604 N Manheim Township 5-17 -12 -5 -- 409 H Strath Haven 5- 9 -4 -1 - 504 H Peters Township 10- 9 1 3 - -2.11 507 N Univ Detroit Jesuit 14- 8 6 9 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Hempfield 15- 8 7 0 +++ 406 H Kiski Prep 20-13 7 -1 +++ 8.16 502 H Pine Richland 19-11 8 1 +++ 6.10 519 H Fox Chapel 19- 6 13 1 +++ 8.29 328 H North Allegheny 18- 5 13 4 ++ 5.83 523 N Pine Richland 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.51 416 H Cincinnati St Xavier 9-11 -2 -5 + 424 A Western Reserve Acad 18- 9 9 6 +/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.99 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 78.23 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 1 Championship Probability . 30.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7