Conf =  CathCon                   Region = MA 2  North            
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Matt O'Neil           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8958817    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Dracut                 MA 2  North   ( 7-13, 68.6)    18- 5   
 407 H Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 8- 9, 72.4)    12- 7   
 409 H Beverly                MA 2  North   (21- 2, 88.2)     6-10   
 411 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   ( 8-13, 69.7)    16- 3   
 414 A Wakefield              MA 2  North   (17- 3, 89.6)     5-10   
 415 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1  South   (12- 8, 90.1)     4-14   
 419 A Arlington Catholic     MA 3  CenEast (10- 9, 72.9)    11- 4   
 421 N Arlington              MA 2  CenEast (10-11, 75.7)    12-11  o
 425 H Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (19- 4, 94.3)     7-13   
 429 A Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   (16- 6, 89.4)     6-11   
 502 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 4-13, 79.2)    10-12   
 507 H Woburn                 MA 1  North   ( 4-13, 70.8)    14- 7   
 510 A Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (19- 4, 94.3)     3-16   
 512 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1  South   (12- 8, 90.1)     6-10   
 516 H Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   (16- 6, 89.4)     8-10   
 519 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 4-13, 79.2)    12-11   
 523 H Medford                MA 1  North   ( 7-14, 64.0)    16- 3   
 525 A Danvers                MA 2  North   ( 2-16, 64.3)    15- 3   
 602 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   ( 8-13, 69.7)    15- 2   
 605 A Wakefield              MA 2  North   (17- 3, 89.6)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Dracut                 18- 5      13    13           0.00
   407 H Gloucester             12- 7       5     9    --    -4.35
   409 H Beverly                 6-10      -4    -6    +      2.43
   411 A Tewksbury Memorial     16- 3      13    10           0.00
   414 A Wakefield               5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.56
   415 H Xaverian Bros           4-14     -10    -8          -1.61
   419 A Arlington Catholic     11- 4       7     7          -0.11
   421 N Arlington              12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.13
   425 H Boston College HS       7-13      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   429 A Catholic Memorial       6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.40
   502 H St Johns Prep Danvers  10-12      -2     2    --    -4.55
   507 H Woburn                 14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   510 A Boston College HS       3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   512 A Xaverian Bros           6-10      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   516 H Catholic Memorial       8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.66
   519 A St Johns Prep Danvers  12-11       1     0           0.19
   523 H Medford                16- 3      13    17           0.00
   525 A Danvers                15- 3      12    15           0.00
   602 H Tewksbury Memorial     15- 2      13    12           0.00
   605 A Wakefield              10-16      -6    -9    +      3.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Gloucester             12- 7       5     9    --    -4.35
   421 N Arlington              12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.13
   502 H St Johns Prep Danvers  10-12      -2     2    --    -4.55
   507 H Woburn                 14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Xaverian Bros           6-10      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   414 A Wakefield               5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.56
   425 H Boston College HS       7-13      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   429 A Catholic Memorial       6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.40
   516 H Catholic Memorial       8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.66
   409 H Beverly                 6-10      -4    -6    +      2.43
   605 A Wakefield              10-16      -6    -9    +      3.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.87 Local Power Rank...........    58
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.13 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    76
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   104
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    70
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/