Region = VA 4A Dulles           
   Nickname = A Raiders              Coach  =   Dave Colangelo        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.7411499    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Potomac Falls          VA 5A No-Loud ( 4-11, 75.4)    18-10   
 317 H Briar Woods            VA 5A No-Loud (13- 7, 92.1)    12-13   
 329 H Freedom-South Riding   VA 4A Evergrn (15- 5, 89.1)    12-13   
 331 A Tuscarora              VA 5A No-Loud ( 6-10, 77.2)    14- 4   
 404 H Fauquier               VA 4A Evergrn ( 4- 9, 80.2)    14- 5   
 407 H John Champe            VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 83.7)    17-11   
 411 H Park View              VA 4A Dulles  ( 3-11, 66.5)    20- 3   
 414 H George Mason           VA 4A Dulles  ( 4-11, 73.4)    18- 1   
 418 A Rock Ridge             VA 4A Dulles  ( 6- 9, 73.2)    20- 2   
 425 A Riverside              VA 4A Dulles  (11- 5, 87.5)    15-12   
 505 A Loudoun Valley         VA 4A Dulles  (11- 4, 90.1)     9- 8   
 507 A Dominion               VA 4A Dulles  (21- 0, 99.9)     9-14   
 509 H Woodgrove              VA 4A Dulles  (13- 3, 93.8)     9-15   
 512 H Heritage-Leesburg      VA 4A Dulles  ( 6- 9, 80.2)    18- 9   
 517 H Heritage-Leesburg      VA 4A Dulles  ( 6- 9, 80.2)    12- 5   
 519 A Woodgrove              VA 4A Dulles  (13- 3, 93.8)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Potomac Falls          18-10       8    15    -     -2.00
   317 H Briar Woods            12-13      -1    -1           0.39
   329 H Freedom-South Riding   12-13      -1     1    -     -2.64
   331 A Tuscarora              14- 4      10    11           0.00
   404 H Fauquier               14- 5       9    10          -1.00
   407 H John Champe            17-11       6     7          -1.05
   411 H Park View              20- 3      17    24           0.00
   414 H George Mason           18- 1      17    17           0.00
   418 A Rock Ridge             20- 2      18    15           0.00
   425 A Riverside              15-12       3     0    +      2.07
   505 A Loudoun Valley          9- 8       1    -1    +      2.67
   507 A Dominion                9-14      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   509 H Woodgrove               9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.86
   512 H Heritage-Leesburg      18- 9       9    10          -1.00
   517 H Heritage-Leesburg      12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   519 A Woodgrove               7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Woodgrove               7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.56
   314 H Potomac Falls          18-10       8    15    -     -2.00
   329 H Freedom-South Riding   12-13      -1     1    -     -2.64
   509 H Woodgrove               9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.86
   517 H Heritage-Leesburg      12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Dominion                9-14      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   425 A Riverside              15-12       3     0    +      2.07
   505 A Loudoun Valley          9- 8       1    -1    +      2.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.55 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.09 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/