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Conf = Dist-III Region = PA Lan-Leb Nickname = A Bears Coach = Allen ShisslerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.9998245 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 324 H Wyomissing PA Berks-2 ( 3-13, 74.8) 15-12 401 A Lancaster Cou Day PA Lan-Leb ( 6-12, 77.1) 9- 8 402 A Trinity HS PA Mid 1 (14- 7, 92.9) 4-16 405 H Hempfield PA Lan-Leb (12- 8, 92.7) 6-14 408 A Ephrata PA Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 73.4) 19- 8 413 H Conestoga Valley PA Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 70.3) 11- 3 415 A Warwick PA Lan-Leb (10- 6, 85.2) 9-10 2o 419 H Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (23- 4, 99.4) 4-18 421 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA Lan-Leb (16- 4, 95.1) 6-12 423 H Carlisle PA Mid 1 (10- 7, 87.4) 11-12 426 A Cedar Crest PA Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 78.9) 14-10 428 H Northern York PA Mid 1 ( 9- 9, 85.6) 5- 6 o 429 A Cocalico PA Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 71.3) 15- 3 503 H Penn Manor PA Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 78.1) 10- 4 504 H Lancaster Mennonite PA Lan-Leb ( 7-11, 75.2) 20- 5 509 H Garden Spot PA Lan-Leb (10- 8, 85.4) 12-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Wyomissing 15-12 3 10 --- -7.00 401 A Lancaster Cou Day 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.02 402 A Trinity HS 4-16 -12 -9 -0.30 405 H Hempfield 6-14 -8 -7 -0.21 408 A Ephrata 19- 8 11 9 0.21 413 H Conestoga Valley 11- 3 8 14 - -2.00 415 A Warwick 9-10 2o -1 -1 0.99 419 H Manheim Township 4-18 -14 -14 0.00 421 A Lampeter-Strasburg 6-12 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 423 H Carlisle 11-12 -1 -2 1.47 426 A Cedar Crest 14-10 4 4 -0.23 428 H Northern York 5- 6 o -1 0 -0.39 429 A Cocalico 15- 3 12 11 0.00 503 H Penn Manor 10- 4 6 6 -0.81 504 H Lancaster Mennonite 20- 5 15 9 0.26 509 H Garden Spot 12-17 -5 0 -- -4.57UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Wyomissing 15-12 3 10 --- -7.00 401 A Lancaster Cou Day 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.02 509 H Garden Spot 12-17 -5 0 -- -4.57 413 H Conestoga Valley 11- 3 8 14 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 A Lampeter-Strasburg 6-12 -6 -11 ++ 4.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.05 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 63.48 Local SOS Rank............. 36 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 35 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 31 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 35 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3