Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Raiders              Coach  =   Chris Piatelli        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.9353790    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Westford Academy       MA 1  North   (10-10, 83.1)     9-13   
 412 A Billerica              MA 1  North   (16- 7, 89.3)     9-19   
 414 H Methuen                MA 1  North   ( 4-16, 60.8)    18- 3   
 416 A Austin Prep            MA 3  North   ( 6-12, 69.7)    13- 6   
 418 H Melrose                MA 2  North   (13- 7, 83.9)     9-11   
 420 A Reading                MA 1  North   (19- 2, 92.4)     3-15   
 423 A Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (19- 4, 94.3)     1-19   
 426 H Andover HS             MA 1  North   (13- 6, 85.4)    10-14   
 428 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   ( 8-13, 69.7)    16- 7   
 430 A Masconomet             MA 1  North   ( 8-12, 75.5)     8- 5   
 502 H Chelmsford             MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 78.5)     7-11   
 504 H Dracut                 MA 2  North   ( 7-13, 68.6)    16- 4   
 507 A Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 8-14, 66.9)    16- 5   
 509 A North Andover          MA 1  North   (12- 8, 81.6)     8-11   
 511 H Billerica              MA 1  North   (16- 7, 89.3)     3-18   
 513 A Andover HS             MA 1  North   (13- 6, 85.4)     5-15   
 516 A Haverhill              MA 1  North   (12-11, 70.4)    17- 5   
 518 A Chelmsford             MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 78.5)    14- 5   
 523 H North Andover          MA 1  North   (12- 8, 81.6)    13- 8   
 525 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 4-13, 79.2)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Westford Academy        9-13      -4    -5           1.58
   412 A Billerica               9-19     -10   -11           0.00
   414 H Methuen                18- 3      15    18           0.00
   416 A Austin Prep            13- 6       7     7          -0.81
   418 H Melrose                 9-11      -2    -4    +      2.58
   420 A Reading                 3-15     -12   -14           0.00
   423 A Boston College HS       1-19     -18   -16           0.00
   426 H Andover HS             10-14      -4    -6    +      2.09
   428 A Tewksbury Memorial     16- 7       9     7           1.15
   430 A Masconomet              8- 5       3     2           0.93
   502 H Chelmsford              7-11      -4     0    --    -4.78
   504 H Dracut                 16- 4      12    10           0.00
   507 A Lowell                 16- 5      11    10           0.00
   509 A North Andover           8-11      -3    -4           1.07
   511 H Billerica               3-18     -15   -10           0.00
   513 A Andover HS              5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.17
   516 A Haverhill              17- 5      12     7    +      2.84
   518 A Chelmsford             14- 5       9     0    +++    9.97
   523 H North Andover          13- 8       5    -2    +++    7.32
   525 A St Johns Prep Danvers   4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Chelmsford              7-11      -4     0    --    -4.78
   513 A Andover HS              5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.17
   525 A St Johns Prep Danvers   4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Chelmsford             14- 5       9     0    +++    9.97
   523 H North Andover          13- 8       5    -2    +++    7.32
   418 H Melrose                 9-11      -2    -4    +      2.58
   426 H Andover HS             10-14      -4    -6    +      2.09
   516 A Haverhill              17- 5      12     7    +      2.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.43 Local Power Rank...........    75
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.19 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    94
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   102
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
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