Region = VA 4A Evergrn          
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Scott Begley          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.8634262    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Broad Run              VA 5A No-Loud (10- 5, 89.4)     5-12   
 404 H Osbourn                VA 6A Cedar   ( 4-11, 69.4)    11- 3   
 406 A Culpeper County        VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 80.8)     6- 7   
 408 A Stonewall Jackson      VA 6A Cedar   (11- 6, 84.4)    11- 2   
 413 H Briar Woods            VA 5A No-Loud (13- 7, 92.1)     3-15   
 414 H James Monroe           VA 4A Evergrn ( 0-13, 59.9)    17- 2   
 418 A Eastern View           VA 4A Evergrn ( 5- 6, 76.2)    16-13   
 421 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA 4A Evergrn ( 1-11, 61.7)    17- 2   
 425 H Culpeper County        VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 80.8)     8- 5   
 509 A John Champe            VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 83.7)    11-12   
 511 A Brentsville            VA 4A Evergrn ( 6- 8, 76.2)    11- 7   
 514 A Freedom-South Riding   VA 4A Evergrn (15- 5, 89.1)    10-14   
 516 H Fauquier               VA 4A Evergrn ( 4- 9, 80.2)     9- 6   
 519 H Brentsville            VA 4A Evergrn ( 6- 8, 76.2)    11- 4   
 523 A John Champe            VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 83.7)     8- 7   
 526 A Freedom-South Riding   VA 4A Evergrn (15- 5, 89.1)     7-12   
 531 A Dominion               VA 4A Dulles  (21- 0, 99.9)     2-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Broad Run               5-12      -7    -7           0.85
   404 H Osbourn                11- 3       8    14    -     -2.00
   406 A Culpeper County         6- 7      -1     0          -1.75
   408 A Stonewall Jackson      11- 2       9    -2    +++   11.85
   413 H Briar Woods             3-15     -12    -8          -1.74
   414 H James Monroe           17- 2      15    23           0.00
   418 A Eastern View           16-13       3     5    -     -2.29
   421 H Liberty-Bealeton       17- 2      15    22           0.00
   425 H Culpeper County         8- 5       3     3          -0.05
   509 A John Champe            11-12      -1    -2           1.12
   511 A Brentsville            11- 7       4     5          -1.33
   514 A Freedom-South Riding   10-14      -4    -7    +      3.53
   516 H Fauquier                9- 6       3     3          -0.68
   519 H Brentsville            11- 4       7     7          -0.63
   523 A John Champe             8- 7       1    -2    +      3.12
   526 A Freedom-South Riding    7-12      -5    -7    +      2.53
   531 A Dominion                2-17     -15   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Osbourn                11- 3       8    14    -     -2.00
   418 A Eastern View           16-13       3     5    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Stonewall Jackson      11- 2       9    -2    +++   11.85
   514 A Freedom-South Riding   10-14      -4    -7    +      3.53
   523 A John Champe             8- 7       1    -2    +      3.12
   526 A Freedom-South Riding    7-12      -5    -7    +      2.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.68 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.27 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    44
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/