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Conf = Gibbs Region = NJ 1 North Nickname = J Colts Coach = Kevin KellyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.5793915 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 A Morristown NJ 4 North (13- 5, 90.1) 2- 8 402 A Christian Bros NJ Grp-A (12- 7, 85.7) 8- 9 405 H Northern Highlands NJ 3 North (15- 4, 93.5) 3-10 407 A Morristown Beard NJ Grp-B ( 8-14, 80.6) 5-12 409 H Mount Olive NJ 3 North (13- 6, 88.0) 10-11 412 A Delbarton NJ Grp-A (22- 2, 99.9) 4-13 414 A Ramapo NJ 2 North (13- 6, 89.9) 4-11 416 H Mountain Lakes NJ 1 North (18- 7, 92.9) 4- 5 419 A Glen Rock NJ 1 North (11- 9, 84.8) 9- 7 421 H Bernards NJ 1 South (15- 8, 87.8) 10- 8 423 A Wayne Valley NJ 3 North ( 9-11, 79.6) 12- 7 427 A Glen Ridge NJ 1 South ( 5-12, 81.5) 12- 3 503 A Mount Olive NJ 3 North (13- 6, 88.0) 10- 6 505 A Mountain Lakes NJ 1 North (18- 7, 92.9) 4-15 512 H Mendham NJ 3 North ( 6-13, 80.6) 6-10 514 A Chatham NJ 2 North (19- 7, 93.6) 2-10 516 H West Morris Central NJ 3 North (19- 6, 93.9) 3-11 518 H Boonton NJ 1 North (13- 7, 75.7) 18- 1 521 A Mahwah NJ 1 North (11- 6, 86.2) 10- 5 525 A Caldwell NJ 1 North (12- 6, 87.8) 5- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Morristown 2- 8 -6 -7 1.69 402 A Christian Bros 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.34 405 H Northern Highlands 3-10 -7 -8 1.68 407 A Morristown Beard 5-12 -7 1 --- -8.77 409 H Mount Olive 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.15 412 A Delbarton 4-13 -9 -17 1.00 414 A Ramapo 4-11 -7 -7 0.47 416 H Mountain Lakes 4- 5 -1 -8 +++ 7.12 419 A Glen Rock 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.42 421 H Bernards 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.96 423 A Wayne Valley 12- 7 5 2 + 2.21 427 A Glen Ridge 12- 3 9 0 +++ 8.13 503 A Mount Olive 10- 6 4 -5 +++ 9.59 505 A Mountain Lakes 4-15 -11 -10 0.00 512 H Mendham 6-10 -4 4 --- -8.18 514 A Chatham 2-10 -8 -11 + 2.00 516 H West Morris Central 3-11 -8 -9 1.10 518 H Boonton 18- 1 17 9 0.86 521 A Mahwah 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 8.77 525 A Caldwell 5- 6 -1 -5 ++ 4.43UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Morristown Beard 5-12 -7 1 --- -8.77 512 H Mendham 6-10 -4 4 --- -8.18OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H Mountain Lakes 4- 5 -1 -8 +++ 7.12 427 A Glen Ridge 12- 3 9 0 +++ 8.13 503 A Mount Olive 10- 6 4 -5 +++ 9.59 521 A Mahwah 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 8.77 419 A Glen Rock 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.42 421 H Bernards 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.96 525 A Caldwell 5- 6 -1 -5 ++ 4.43 402 A Christian Bros 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.34 409 H Mount Olive 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.15 423 A Wayne Valley 12- 7 5 2 + 2.21 514 A Chatham 2-10 -8 -11 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.60 Local Power Rank........... 66 Local SOS Rating......... 72.52 Local SOS Rank............. 18 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 64 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 89 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 150 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.0