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Conf = 4A Region = NC Conf-05 Nickname = C Falcons Coach = Mike RicucciGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.4975586 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 301 H Cedar Ridge NC Conf-06 (15- 4, 87.2) 11-13 303 A W.G. Enloe NC Conf-04 ( 9- 9, 83.9) 6- 7 308 H Chapel Hill NC Conf-06 (11-10, 84.4) 7- 9 309 H Heritage NC Conf-04 ( 9- 9, 83.6) 9- 5 312 A Carrboro NC Conf-06 (15- 2, 91.1) 2- 9 315 A Green Hope NC Conf-03 (13- 5, 95.7) 3-17 317 H Holly Springs NC Conf-03 (14- 5, 95.9) 4-14 319 H Cary Academy NC 1 NCISAA ( 6- 8, 80.8) 6- 5 o 322 A East Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (11- 6, 88.1) 7- 8 402 A Atholton MD 32 South-2 ( 8- 7, 83.7) 7-10 402 N North Harford MD 32 North-2 ( 8- 8, 85.9) 9-15 405 H Middle Creek NC Conf-03 (16- 4, 96.7) 3-16 408 A Cardinal Gibbons NC Conf-05 (19- 3, 99.9) 5-15 413 H Issaquah WA 1 KingCo (18- 5, 94.6) 6-15 418 H Northern Durham NC Conf-05 ( 5-10, 73.2) 18- 6 419 H Durham Riverside NC Conf-05 ( 3-12, 76.6) 15- 8 421 A Cary Academy NC 1 NCISAA ( 6- 8, 80.8) 12- 7 426 A East Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (11- 6, 88.1) 8-10 506 A Middle Creek NC Conf-03 (16- 4, 96.7) 7-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Cedar Ridge 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.45 303 A W.G. Enloe 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.64 308 H Chapel Hill 7- 9 -2 -2 0.64 309 H Heritage 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.82 312 A Carrboro 2- 9 -7 -10 + 3.00 315 A Green Hope 3-17 -14 -15 0.00 317 H Holly Springs 4-14 -10 -14 0.00 319 H Cary Academy 6- 5 o 1 0 n/a 322 A East Chapel Hill 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.87 402 A Atholton 7-10 -3 -3 n/a 402 N North Harford 9-15 -6 -4 n/a 405 H Middle Creek 3-16 -13 -14 0.00 408 A Cardinal Gibbons 5-15 -10 -19 0.00 413 H Issaquah 6-15 -9 -12 n/a 418 H Northern Durham 18- 6 12 8 1.44 419 H Durham Riverside 15- 8 7 5 1.90 421 A Cary Academy 12- 7 5 0 n/a 426 A East Chapel Hill 8-10 -2 -7 ++ 5.87 506 A Middle Creek 7-18 -11 -16 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A East Chapel Hill 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.87 309 H Heritage 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.82 421 A Cary Academy 12- 7 5 0 ++ 426 A East Chapel Hill 8-10 -2 -7 ++ 5.87 301 H Cedar Ridge 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.45 303 A W.G. Enloe 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.64 312 A Carrboro 2- 9 -7 -10 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.00 Local Power Rank........... 48 Local SOS Rating......... 73.02 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 40 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 30 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 62 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-14 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -11.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7