Region = VA 4A Dulles           
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Marc Mesmer           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.2876358    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Stafford               VA 5A So-NoWe ( 9- 6, 80.4)     2-13   
 316 H Brentsville            VA 4A Evergrn ( 6- 8, 76.2)    11-17   
 328 A Washington-Lee         VA 6A Liberty ( 3-12, 71.4)     9- 6   
 406 H Trinity-Meadow View    VA 2  Indep   ( 5- 7, 75.2)    17- 3   
 407 N Freedom-South Riding   VA 4A Evergrn (15- 5, 89.1)     3-15   
 411 H Riverside              VA 4A Dulles  (11- 5, 87.5)     1-13   
 414 A Loudoun County         VA 4A Dulles  (11- 5, 89.6)     1-18   
 418 H Dominion               VA 4A Dulles  (21- 0, 99.9)     3-17   
 421 A Loudoun Valley         VA 4A Dulles  (11- 4, 90.1)     3-18   
 425 H Woodgrove              VA 4A Dulles  (13- 3, 93.8)     2-17   
 426 H Park View              VA 4A Dulles  ( 3-11, 66.5)    19- 4   
 504 H Heritage-Leesburg      VA 4A Dulles  ( 6- 9, 80.2)    10-14   
 505 A Rock Ridge             VA 4A Dulles  ( 6- 9, 73.2)    12-16   
 512 H Thos Jefferson         VA 5A No-FFax ( 5- 8, 70.2)    14- 6   
 517 N Dominion               VA 4A Dulles  (21- 0, 99.9)     5-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Stafford                2-13     -11    -8          -1.86
   316 H Brentsville            11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.36
   328 A Washington-Lee          9- 6       3     0    +      2.10
   406 H Trinity-Meadow View    17- 3      14     0          n/a  
   407 N Freedom-South Riding    3-15     -12   -15           0.00
   411 H Riverside               1-13     -12   -12           0.00
   414 A Loudoun County          1-18     -17   -17           0.00
   418 H Dominion                3-17     -14   -25           0.00
   421 A Loudoun Valley          3-18     -15   -17           0.00
   425 H Woodgrove               2-17     -15   -19           0.00
   426 H Park View              19- 4      15     8           1.98
   504 H Heritage-Leesburg      10-14      -4    -5           1.59
   505 A Rock Ridge             12-16      -4     0    -     -3.06
   512 H Thos Jefferson         14- 6       8     4    +      3.65
   517 N Dominion                5-18     -13   -26           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Brentsville            11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.36
   505 A Rock Ridge             12-16      -4     0    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Trinity-Meadow View    17- 3      14     0    +++        
   328 A Washington-Lee          9- 6       3     0    +      2.10
   512 H Thos Jefferson         14- 6       8     4    +      3.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.41 Local Power Rank...........    71
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.38 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    44
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    74
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/