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Region = VA 4A Evergrn Nickname = A Eagles Coach = Warren DanzenbakerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.5649261 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 316 A Riverside VA 4A Dulles (11- 5, 87.5) 5- 8 318 A Briar Woods VA 5A No-Loud (13- 7, 92.1) 8-10 329 A Loudoun County VA 4A Dulles (11- 5, 89.6) 13-12 331 A Loudoun Valley VA 4A Dulles (11- 4, 90.1) 9-10 4o 407 N George Mason VA 4A Dulles ( 4-11, 73.4) 15- 3 415 A John Champe VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 83.7) 8- 4 418 H Fauquier VA 4A Evergrn ( 4- 9, 80.2) 8- 7 o 421 A Brentsville VA 4A Evergrn ( 6- 8, 76.2) 18- 4 425 A Liberty-Bealeton VA 4A Evergrn ( 1-11, 61.7) 16- 0 428 N Eastern View VA 4A Evergrn ( 5- 6, 76.2) 18- 9 509 H Heritage-Leesburg VA 4A Dulles ( 6- 9, 80.2) 14- 3 512 N Culpeper County VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 80.8) 6- 5 514 H Kettle Run VA 4A Evergrn (10- 7, 82.7) 14-10 516 N James Monroe VA 4A Evergrn ( 0-13, 59.9) 22- 1 518 H Liberty-Bealeton VA 4A Evergrn ( 1-11, 61.7) 22- 2 524 H Culpeper County VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 80.8) 14- 4 526 H Kettle Run VA 4A Evergrn (10- 7, 82.7) 12- 7 531 H Woodgrove VA 4A Dulles (13- 3, 93.8) 12-11 3o 602 N Dominion VA 4A Dulles (21- 0, 99.9) 9-13 607 A Western Albemarle VA 4A CV-Rich (15- 6, 89.5) 5-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 A Riverside 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.43 318 A Briar Woods 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.18 329 A Loudoun County 13-12 1 -1 + 2.64 331 A Loudoun Valley 9-10 4o -1 -2 1.16 407 N George Mason 15- 3 12 15 0.00 415 A John Champe 8- 4 4 4 -0.26 418 H Fauquier 8- 7 o 1 10 --- -9.00 421 A Brentsville 18- 4 14 11 0.00 425 A Liberty-Bealeton 16- 0 16 26 0.00 428 N Eastern View 18- 9 9 12 -1.00 509 H Heritage-Leesburg 14- 3 11 10 0.00 512 N Culpeper County 6- 5 1 8 --- -7.28 514 H Kettle Run 14-10 4 7 - -3.53 516 N James Monroe 22- 1 21 29 0.00 518 H Liberty-Bealeton 22- 2 20 28 0.00 524 H Culpeper County 14- 4 10 9 0.57 526 H Kettle Run 12- 7 5 7 - -2.53 531 H Woodgrove 12-11 3o 1 -3 ++ 4.63 602 N Dominion 9-13 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 607 A Western Albemarle 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.45UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Fauquier 8- 7 o 1 10 --- -9.00 512 N Culpeper County 6- 5 1 8 --- -7.28 607 A Western Albemarle 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.45 316 A Riverside 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.43 514 H Kettle Run 14-10 4 7 - -3.53 526 H Kettle Run 12- 7 5 7 - -2.53OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 602 N Dominion 9-13 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 531 H Woodgrove 12-11 3o 1 -3 ++ 4.63 318 A Briar Woods 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.18 329 A Loudoun County 13-12 1 -1 + 2.64/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.06 Local Power Rank........... 21 Local SOS Rating......... 61.13 Local SOS Rank............. 40 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 20 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 12 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 17 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3