Region = VA 4A Evergrn          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Eric Morrison         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4072342    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H Handley                VA    Indep   (10- 4, 81.5)    17- 3   
 318 A Broad Run              VA 5A No-Loud (10- 5, 89.4)    10-13   
 330 A Woodgrove              VA 4A Dulles  (13- 3, 93.8)     2-13   
 404 A Loudoun County         VA 4A Dulles  (11- 5, 89.6)     5-14   
 408 A Osbourn Park           VA 6A Cedar   ( 8- 7, 81.5)     7-12   
 414 H Culpeper County        VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 80.8)     5- 9   
 418 A Freedom-South Riding   VA 4A Evergrn (15- 5, 89.1)     7- 8  o
 420 A Osbourn                VA 6A Cedar   ( 4-11, 69.4)    17- 2   
 421 H James Monroe           VA 4A Evergrn ( 0-13, 59.9)    19- 1   
 428 H John Champe            VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 83.7)     9-11   
 513 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA 4A Evergrn ( 1-11, 61.7)    16- 1   
 516 A Kettle Run             VA 4A Evergrn (10- 7, 82.7)     6- 9   
 519 A John Champe            VA 4A Evergrn (10- 6, 83.7)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Handley                17- 3      14     0          n/a  
   318 A Broad Run              10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   330 A Woodgrove               2-13     -11   -14           0.00
   404 A Loudoun County          5-14      -9   -10           1.00
   408 A Osbourn Park            7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.49
   414 H Culpeper County         5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.52
   418 A Freedom-South Riding    7- 8  o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   420 A Osbourn                17- 2      15     9           0.40
   421 H James Monroe           19- 1      18    21           0.00
   428 H John Champe             9-11      -2    -2           0.35
   513 H Liberty-Bealeton       16- 1      15    19           0.00
   516 A Kettle Run              6- 9      -3    -3           0.68
   519 A John Champe            10-11      -1    -4    +      3.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Culpeper County         5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.52
   408 A Osbourn Park            7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Handley                17- 3      14     0    +++        
   318 A Broad Run              10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   418 A Freedom-South Riding    7- 8  o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   519 A John Champe            10-11      -1    -4    +      3.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.15 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.86 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    69
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    71
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/