Conf =  Northeast                 Region = MA 2  North            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Murphy            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.1899948    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A North Reading          MA 3  North   (11-10, 75.5)     0-12   
 407 H Marblehead             MA 2  North   (10-10, 80.3)     2-11   
 412 A Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 8- 9, 72.4)     7- 8 6o
 413 H Beverly                MA 2  North   (21- 2, 88.2)     3- 8   
 415 A Swampscott             MA 3  North   (11-10, 67.9)     3- 8   
 418 A Georgetown             MA 3  North   ( 5-13, 66.4)     4- 8   
 420 H Ipswich                MA 3  North   (18- 2, 83.9)     2-13   
 422 A Wakefield              MA 2  North   (17- 3, 89.6)     1-19   
 428 H Peabody                MA 1  North   ( 8-12, 71.1)     8- 7   
 502 A Marblehead             MA 2  North   (10-10, 80.3)     9-21   
 505 H Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 8- 9, 72.4)     8-12   
 507 A Merrimack              NH 1          ( 3-14, 68.9)    10-11  o
 509 H Woburn                 MA 1  North   ( 4-13, 70.8)     8- 7  o
 512 A Beverly                MA 2  North   (21- 2, 88.2)     1-17   
 514 A Peabody                MA 1  North   ( 8-12, 71.1)     2-14   
 517 H Newburyport            MA 3  North   (11- 8, 78.4)     2-14   
 523 A Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3  North   ( 7-11, 75.5)     3-16   
 525 H Malden Catholic        MA 2  North   (10-10, 80.9)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A North Reading           0-12     -12   -12           0.00
   407 H Marblehead              2-11      -9   -15           1.00
   412 A Gloucester              7- 8 6o   -1    -8    +++    7.93
   413 H Beverly                 3- 8      -5   -22    ++     5.00
   415 A Swampscott              3- 8      -5    -4          -0.60
   418 A Georgetown              4- 8      -4    -2          -1.08
   420 H Ipswich                 2-13     -11   -18           0.00
   422 A Wakefield               1-19     -18   -26           0.00
   428 H Peabody                 8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.94
   502 A Marblehead              9-21     -12   -16           0.00
   505 H Gloucester              8-12      -4    -7    +      3.18
   507 A Merrimack              10-11  o   -1    -5          n/a  
   509 H Woburn                  8- 7  o    1    -5    +++    6.56
   512 A Beverly                 1-17     -16   -24           0.00
   514 A Peabody                 2-14     -12    -7    -     -2.32
   517 H Newburyport             2-14     -12   -13           0.00
   523 A Hamilton-Wenham         3-16     -13   -12           0.00
   525 H Malden Catholic         3-15     -12   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Peabody                 2-14     -12    -7    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Gloucester              7- 8 6o   -1    -8    +++    7.93
   428 H Peabody                 8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.94
   509 H Woburn                  8- 7  o    1    -5    +++    6.56
   413 H Beverly                 3- 8      -5   -22    ++     5.00
   507 A Merrimack              10-11  o   -1    -5    ++         
   505 H Gloucester              8-12      -4    -7    +      3.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.34 Local Power Rank...........   168
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.46 Local SOS Rank.............    83
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............   162
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    61
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   195
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.3
/