Columbia Prep                 3 - 9


 
                                     Region = NY    PSAA             
   Nickname = Y Lions                Coach  =   Joseph Chazen         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.8243256    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 411 A Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 2-12, 73.2)     6- 7   
 413 A Long Island Lutheran   NY    PSAA    (12- 5, 85.4)     6-13   
 418 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 8- 7, 83.0)     9-10   
 419 H Masters - Dobbs Ferry  NY    PSAA    ( 5- 7, 76.4)    10- 8   
 420 A Portledge              NY    PSAA    ( 4- 7, 76.6)    10- 8   
 426 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     ( 4-12, 76.2)     9-10   
 427 H Long Island Lutheran   NY    PSAA    (12- 5, 85.4)     8-11   
 429 H Portledge              NY    PSAA    ( 4- 7, 76.6)     7- 4   
 504 A Masters - Dobbs Ferry  NY    PSAA    ( 5- 7, 76.4)     4-10   
 506 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 5-12, 76.6)     4- 6   
 509 H Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     (11- 5, 87.2)     5-10   
 513 H Masters - Dobbs Ferry  NY    PSAA    ( 5- 7, 76.4)    10-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Dalton                  6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.72
   413 A Long Island Lutheran    6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   418 H Trinity School          9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.89
   419 H Masters - Dobbs Ferry  10- 8       2     0    +      2.28
   420 A Portledge              10- 8       2    -1    +      3.69
   426 A Poly Prep               9-10      -1    -1           0.31
   427 H Long Island Lutheran    8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.35
   429 H Portledge               7- 4       3     0    +      3.54
   504 A Masters - Dobbs Ferry   4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.57
   506 A Horace Mann             4- 6      -2    -1          -0.38
   509 H Riverdale Cou Day       5-10      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   513 H Masters - Dobbs Ferry  10-11      -1     0          -0.72


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Masters - Dobbs Ferry   4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.57
   411 A Dalton                  6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.72


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Long Island Lutheran    8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.35
   418 H Trinity School          9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.89
   509 H Riverdale Cou Day       5-10      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   413 A Long Island Lutheran    6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   419 H Masters - Dobbs Ferry  10- 8       2     0    +      2.28
   420 A Portledge              10- 8       2    -1    +      3.69
   429 H Portledge               7- 4       3     0    +      3.54




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.51 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.02 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7


  
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