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Conf = Dist-III Region = PA Lan-Leb Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Craig KemmleinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.4090881 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 328 H Governor Mifflin PA Berks-1 (11- 8, 85.9) 6-17 331 A Warwick PA Lan-Leb (10- 6, 85.2) 4-12 404 H Penn Manor PA Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 78.1) 15- 4 406 A Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (23- 4, 99.4) 1-19 411 H Lancaster Cou Day PA Lan-Leb ( 6-12, 77.1) 14-13 413 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA Lan-Leb (16- 4, 95.1) 8-22 416 H West York PA York ( 9- 6, 86.6) 8-16 418 H Hempfield PA Lan-Leb (12- 8, 92.7) 4-19 420 A Garden Spot PA Lan-Leb (10- 8, 85.4) 5-14 422 H Ephrata PA Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 73.4) 18- 7 423 A Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 (11- 8, 88.0) 3-16 426 H Elizabethtown PA Lan-Leb ( 8- 8, 84.1) 10-14 428 H Conestoga Valley PA Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 70.3) 18- 8 430 A Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 8- 9, 83.8) 11-12 502 A Palmyra PA Mid 1 (13- 6, 91.8) 5-19 503 A Cocalico PA Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 71.3) 14- 8 505 A Lancaster Mennonite PA Lan-Leb ( 7-11, 75.2) 21- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Governor Mifflin 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.91 331 A Warwick 4-12 -8 -7 -0.89 404 H Penn Manor 15- 4 11 1 +++ 8.31 406 A Manheim Township 1-19 -18 -21 0.00 411 H Lancaster Cou Day 14-13 1 2 -1.67 413 A Lampeter-Strasburg 8-22 -14 -17 0.00 416 H West York 8-16 -8 -6 -1.19 418 H Hempfield 4-19 -15 -12 0.00 420 A Garden Spot 5-14 -9 -7 -1.68 422 H Ephrata 18- 7 11 6 + 3.56 423 A Central Dauphin 3-16 -13 -9 -0.03 426 H Elizabethtown 10-14 -4 -4 0.23 428 H Conestoga Valley 18- 8 10 9 0.53 430 A Lower Dauphin 11-12 -1 -5 ++ 4.76 502 A Palmyra 5-19 -14 -13 0.00 503 A Cocalico 14- 8 6 6 -0.72 505 A Lancaster Mennonite 21- 7 14 2 +++ 7.15UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Governor Mifflin 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.91OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Penn Manor 15- 4 11 1 +++ 8.31 505 A Lancaster Mennonite 21- 7 14 2 +++ 7.15 430 A Lower Dauphin 11-12 -1 -5 ++ 4.76 422 H Ephrata 18- 7 11 6 + 3.56/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.93 Local Power Rank........... 40 Local SOS Rating......... 65.32 Local SOS Rank............. 25 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 38 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 45 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -16.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -15.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -14.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0