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Region = VA 5A No-Loud Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Bruce LipsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.6144867 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 315 N Centreville VA 6A Concord (11- 6, 90.5) 13-12 o 317 A Loudoun County VA 4A Dulles (11- 5, 89.6) 13-12 318 H Freedom-South Riding VA 4A Evergrn (15- 5, 89.1) 10- 8 328 N Heritage-Leesburg VA 4A Dulles ( 6- 9, 80.2) 16- 9 330 A Hayfield VA 6A Liberty ( 3- 9, 76.7) 20- 5 401 A Fairfax VA 6A Liberty ( 3-10, 77.9) 23-12 405 H Potomac Falls VA 5A No-Loud ( 4-11, 75.4) 16- 6 412 A Stone Bridge VA 5A No-Loud (17- 1, 98.4) 10-14 413 A Kettle Run VA 4A Evergrn (10- 7, 82.7) 15- 3 419 A Yorktown VA 6A Liberty (12- 7, 89.5) 6- 7 o 421 A Woodson VA 6A Patriot (16- 6, 91.9) 6-13 429 H Westfield VA 6A Concord ( 8- 9, 87.0) 10-11 503 N Broad Run VA 5A No-Loud (10- 5, 89.4) 10-11 509 A Tuscarora VA 5A No-Loud ( 6-10, 77.2) 18- 3 517 A Broad Run VA 5A No-Loud (10- 5, 89.4) 10- 9 519 A Stone Bridge VA 5A No-Loud (17- 1, 98.4) 7- 9 531 A Marshall VA 5A No-FFax (14- 2, 89.2) 12-10 602 A Stone Bridge VA 5A No-Loud (17- 1, 98.4) 4-17 607 A Patrick Henry Roanoke VA 5A So-NoWe (17- 3, 93.7) 9- 7 611 N Atlee VA 5A So-SoEa (13- 6, 90.7) 9- 8 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 N Centreville 13-12 o 1 1 -0.64 317 A Loudoun County 13-12 1 1 -0.39 318 H Freedom-South Riding 10- 8 2 4 - -2.18 328 N Heritage-Leesburg 16- 9 7 11 - -3.00 330 A Hayfield 20- 5 15 14 0.00 401 A Fairfax 23-12 11 13 0.00 405 H Potomac Falls 16- 6 10 17 0.00 412 A Stone Bridge 10-14 -4 -7 + 3.44 413 A Kettle Run 15- 3 12 8 1.74 419 A Yorktown 6- 7 o -1 1 - -2.42 421 A Woodson 6-13 -7 -1 -- -5.99 429 H Westfield 10-11 -1 6 --- -7.28 503 N Broad Run 10-11 -1 2 - -3.71 509 A Tuscarora 18- 3 15 13 0.00 517 A Broad Run 10- 9 1 1 -0.55 519 A Stone Bridge 7- 9 -2 -7 ++ 5.44 531 A Marshall 12-10 2 1 0.23 602 A Stone Bridge 4-17 -13 -7 - -2.56 607 A Patrick Henry Roanoke 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.72 611 N Atlee 9- 8 o 1 1 -0.41UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Westfield 10-11 -1 6 --- -7.28 421 A Woodson 6-13 -7 -1 -- -5.99 318 H Freedom-South Riding 10- 8 2 4 - -2.18 328 N Heritage-Leesburg 16- 9 7 11 - -3.00 419 A Yorktown 6- 7 o -1 1 - -2.42 503 N Broad Run 10-11 -1 2 - -3.71 602 A Stone Bridge 4-17 -13 -7 - -2.56OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 A Stone Bridge 7- 9 -2 -7 ++ 5.44 607 A Patrick Henry Roanoke 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.72 412 A Stone Bridge 10-14 -4 -7 + 3.44/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.09 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 72.98 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 12 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3