Region = VA 5A No-Loud          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Bruce Lipson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6144867    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 N Centreville            VA 6A Concord (11- 6, 90.5)    13-12  o
 317 A Loudoun County         VA 4A Dulles  (11- 5, 89.6)    13-12   
 318 H Freedom-South Riding   VA 4A Evergrn (15- 5, 89.1)    10- 8   
 328 N Heritage-Leesburg      VA 4A Dulles  ( 6- 9, 80.2)    16- 9   
 330 A Hayfield               VA 6A Liberty ( 3- 9, 76.7)    20- 5   
 401 A Fairfax                VA 6A Liberty ( 3-10, 77.9)    23-12   
 405 H Potomac Falls          VA 5A No-Loud ( 4-11, 75.4)    16- 6   
 412 A Stone Bridge           VA 5A No-Loud (17- 1, 98.4)    10-14   
 413 A Kettle Run             VA 4A Evergrn (10- 7, 82.7)    15- 3   
 419 A Yorktown               VA 6A Liberty (12- 7, 89.5)     6- 7  o
 421 A Woodson                VA 6A Patriot (16- 6, 91.9)     6-13   
 429 H Westfield              VA 6A Concord ( 8- 9, 87.0)    10-11   
 503 N Broad Run              VA 5A No-Loud (10- 5, 89.4)    10-11   
 509 A Tuscarora              VA 5A No-Loud ( 6-10, 77.2)    18- 3   
 517 A Broad Run              VA 5A No-Loud (10- 5, 89.4)    10- 9   
 519 A Stone Bridge           VA 5A No-Loud (17- 1, 98.4)     7- 9   
 531 A Marshall               VA 5A No-FFax (14- 2, 89.2)    12-10   
 602 A Stone Bridge           VA 5A No-Loud (17- 1, 98.4)     4-17   
 607 A Patrick Henry Roanoke  VA 5A So-NoWe (17- 3, 93.7)     9- 7   
 611 N Atlee                  VA 5A So-SoEa (13- 6, 90.7)     9- 8  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 N Centreville            13-12  o    1     1          -0.64
   317 A Loudoun County         13-12       1     1          -0.39
   318 H Freedom-South Riding   10- 8       2     4    -     -2.18
   328 N Heritage-Leesburg      16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   330 A Hayfield               20- 5      15    14           0.00
   401 A Fairfax                23-12      11    13           0.00
   405 H Potomac Falls          16- 6      10    17           0.00
   412 A Stone Bridge           10-14      -4    -7    +      3.44
   413 A Kettle Run             15- 3      12     8           1.74
   419 A Yorktown                6- 7  o   -1     1    -     -2.42
   421 A Woodson                 6-13      -7    -1    --    -5.99
   429 H Westfield              10-11      -1     6    ---   -7.28
   503 N Broad Run              10-11      -1     2    -     -3.71
   509 A Tuscarora              18- 3      15    13           0.00
   517 A Broad Run              10- 9       1     1          -0.55
   519 A Stone Bridge            7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.44
   531 A Marshall               12-10       2     1           0.23
   602 A Stone Bridge            4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.56
   607 A Patrick Henry Roanoke   9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.72
   611 N Atlee                   9- 8  o    1     1          -0.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Westfield              10-11      -1     6    ---   -7.28
   421 A Woodson                 6-13      -7    -1    --    -5.99
   318 H Freedom-South Riding   10- 8       2     4    -     -2.18
   328 N Heritage-Leesburg      16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   419 A Yorktown                6- 7  o   -1     1    -     -2.42
   503 N Broad Run              10-11      -1     2    -     -3.71
   602 A Stone Bridge            4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Stone Bridge            7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.44
   607 A Patrick Henry Roanoke   9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.72
   412 A Stone Bridge           10-14      -4    -7    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.09 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.98 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/