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Conf = SWCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Falcons Coach = John DistlerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.9154358 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 A East Lyme CT M (11- 8, 71.0) 15- 3 407 A New Fairfield CT M (11- 9, 79.6) 15- 8 409 A Wantagh NY B Sec 8 (12- 5, 92.4) 8-11 412 A Simsbury CT L (20- 2, 89.1) 5- 7 414 H Masuk-Monroe CT M (10-10, 69.9) 14- 3 416 A Immaculate Danbury CT S ( 8- 9, 65.8) 15- 5 418 H Newtown CT L (11- 9, 78.9) 11- 6 421 A Brookfield CT M ( 9-10, 72.4) 18- 4 423 H Glastonbury CT L (15- 4, 88.0) 7-12 427 H New Milford CT L ( 4-12, 65.7) 22- 8 428 A Bunnell-Stratford CT M (10- 8, 71.1) 19- 3 430 A Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (13- 8, 81.7) 9-10 503 H Weston CT S (14- 7, 78.8) 14- 5 505 A Bethel CT M ( 7-11, 71.5) 17- 6 507 H Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 89.3) 15-10 518 H Guilford CT M (14- 6, 84.4) 6- 7 524 N Newtown CT L (11- 9, 78.9) 9-13 601 H Foran CT M ( 8-10, 66.3) 19- 2 604 H Notre Dame-West Haven CT M (12- 6, 78.1) 11- 8 608 N New Canaan CT M (19- 4, 91.5) 10-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A East Lyme 15- 3 12 12 0.00 407 A New Fairfield 15- 8 7 3 + 3.30 409 A Wantagh 8-11 -3 -8 n/a 412 A Simsbury 5- 7 -2 -5 + 3.79 414 H Masuk-Monroe 14- 3 11 15 0.00 416 A Immaculate Danbury 15- 5 10 17 0.00 418 H Newtown 11- 6 5 5 -0.95 421 A Brookfield 18- 4 14 10 0.00 423 H Glastonbury 7-12 -5 -3 -1.85 427 H New Milford 22- 8 14 19 0.00 428 A Bunnell-Stratford 19- 3 16 12 0.00 430 A Daniel Hand-Madison 9-10 -1 1 - -2.63 503 H Weston 14- 5 9 6 + 2.92 505 A Bethel 17- 6 11 11 0.00 507 H Bay Shore 15-10 5 -4 n/a 518 H Guilford 6- 7 -1 0 -1.48 524 N Newtown 9-13 -4 5 --- -9.15 601 H Foran 19- 2 17 18 0.00 604 H Notre Dame-West Haven 11- 8 3 6 - -3.81 608 N New Canaan 10-13 -3 -7 ++ 4.42UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 524 N Newtown 9-13 -4 5 --- -9.15 430 A Daniel Hand-Madison 9-10 -1 1 - -2.63 604 H Notre Dame-West Haven 11- 8 3 6 - -3.81OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 507 H Bay Shore 15-10 5 -4 +++ 409 A Wantagh 8-11 -3 -8 ++ 608 N New Canaan 10-13 -3 -7 ++ 4.42 407 A New Fairfield 15- 8 7 3 + 3.30 412 A Simsbury 5- 7 -2 -5 + 3.79 503 H Weston 14- 5 9 6 + 2.92/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.09 Local Power Rank........... 12 Local SOS Rating......... 55.34 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 17 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 46 Local Quality Win Rating. 0.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 18 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7