Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Golden Warrior       Coach  =   Wayne Puglisi         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4017029    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Masconomet             MA 1  North   ( 8-12, 75.5)    11- 4   
 411 A Chelmsford             MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 78.5)    16- 7   
 414 H Haverhill              MA 1  North   (12-11, 70.4)    19- 3   
 416 H Methuen                MA 1  North   ( 4-16, 60.8)    18- 0   
 419 H North Andover          MA 1  North   (12- 8, 81.6)    12- 6   
 421 N Winchester             MA 2  North   (16- 6, 88.2)     8-13   
 423 N Concord Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (18- 3, 90.6)     4- 7   
 426 A Central Catholic       MA 1  North   ( 9-11, 78.4)    14-10   
 429 A Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 8-14, 66.9)    17- 3   
 430 A Dracut                 MA 2  North   ( 7-13, 68.6)    13- 3   
 503 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1  North   (12-10, 86.0)     9- 8   
 506 A North Andover          MA 1  North   (12- 8, 81.6)    12- 9   
 509 A Billerica              MA 1  North   (16- 7, 89.3)     7-15   
 511 H Chelmsford             MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 78.5)    12- 4   
 513 H Central Catholic       MA 1  North   ( 9-11, 78.4)    15- 5   
 516 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   ( 8-13, 69.7)    17- 5   
 523 H Billerica              MA 1  North   (16- 7, 89.3)     6-15   
 525 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1  North   (19- 2, 99.9)     6-17   
 604 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1  North   (12-10, 86.0)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Masconomet             11- 4       7     9    -     -2.03
   411 A Chelmsford             16- 7       9     5    +      3.00
   414 H Haverhill              19- 3      16    15           0.00
   416 H Methuen                18- 0      18    25           0.00
   419 H North Andover          12- 6       6     4           1.36
   421 N Winchester              8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.19
   423 N Concord Carlisle        4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.22
   426 A Central Catholic       14-10       4     6    -     -2.09
   429 A Lowell                 17- 3      14    17           0.00
   430 A Dracut                 13- 3      10    15           0.00
   503 H Acton Boxborough        9- 8       1     0           0.70
   506 A North Andover          12- 9       3     2           0.10
   509 A Billerica               7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.18
   511 H Chelmsford             12- 4       8     7           0.26
   513 H Central Catholic       15- 5      10     7    +      2.17
   516 A Tewksbury Memorial     17- 5      12    14           0.00
   523 H Billerica               6-15      -9    -3    --    -5.92
   525 A Lincoln-Sudbury         6-17     -11   -15           0.00
   604 H Acton Boxborough        7-13      -6     0    ---   -6.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   604 H Acton Boxborough        7-13      -6     0    ---   -6.30
   523 H Billerica               6-15      -9    -3    --    -5.92
   408 A Masconomet             11- 4       7     9    -     -2.03
   421 N Winchester              8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.19
   426 A Central Catholic       14-10       4     6    -     -2.09
   509 A Billerica               7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Chelmsford             16- 7       9     5    +      3.00
   423 N Concord Carlisle        4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.22
   513 H Central Catholic       15- 5      10     7    +      2.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.39 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.61 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7
/