First Flight                  5 - 4


 
   Conf =  2A                        Region = NC    Indep            
   Nickname = C Nighthawks           Coach  =   John Van Lunen        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.3065033    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Grassfield LC          VA 1  Beach   (15- 3, 95.2)     2-11   
 308 A Williamsburg LC        VA    Indep   ( 8- 2, 98.1)     2-14   
 311 A New Bern               NC    Conf-02 (12- 4, 82.9)    11- 9   
 315 A Benedictine            VA 1  Indep   ( 5-10, 78.6)     6-11   
 321 A Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 9- 8, 77.0)     7- 5   
 328 A Currituck LC           VA 2  Beach   ( 2- 8, 69.0)    13- 2   
 329 H Hickory LC             VA 1  Beach   ( 2- 9, 74.8)     4- 3   
 411 H Currituck LC           VA 2  Beach   ( 2- 8, 69.0)    15- 5   
 503 H Williamsburg LC        VA    Indep   ( 8- 2, 98.1)     7-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Grassfield LC           2-11      -9   -16          n/a  
   308 A Williamsburg LC         2-14     -12   -20          n/a  
   311 A New Bern               11- 9       2    -5    +++    7.28
   315 A Benedictine             6-11      -5     0          n/a  
   321 A Havelock                7- 5       2     0           1.36
   328 A Currituck LC           13- 2      11     8          n/a  
   329 H Hickory LC              4- 3       1     3          n/a  
   411 H Currituck LC           15- 5      10     9          n/a  
   503 H Williamsburg LC         7-13      -6   -19          n/a  


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Benedictine             6-11      -5     0    --         
   329 H Hickory LC              4- 3       1     3    -          


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A New Bern               11- 9       2    -5    +++    7.28
   503 H Williamsburg LC         7-13      -6   -19    ++         




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.29 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.03 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7


  
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