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Region = MD 32 West-1 Nickname = D Bears Coach = Gavin DonahueGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.1632233 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Smithsburg MD 21 West-2 (10- 3, 82.3) 7- 8 o 327 H Century MD 32 South-1 ( 7- 8, 79.8) 6- 5 o 401 A Urbana MD 32 West-1 (14- 5, 89.7) 5-19 403 H Walkersville MD 21 West-2 ( 7- 8, 76.2) 5- 7 405 A Winters Mill MD 32 South-1 ( 8- 8, 81.9) 5-12 410 A Tuscarora MD 43 North-1 ( 2-12, 71.5) 10- 4 414 A Middletown MD 32 West-1 (13- 3, 88.7) 5- 9 419 N Long Reach MD 32 South-2 ( 4-11, 70.9) 19- 5 419 A Wilde Lake MD 32 South-2 ( 6-10, 76.3) 11- 8 423 H Linganore MD 43 North-1 ( 7- 6, 82.8) 8-15 424 A Frederick MD 32 West-1 ( 8- 7, 76.3) 11-12 429 A North Carroll MD 21 West-1 (16- 3, 89.0) 11-17 501 H Catoctin MD 21 West-2 ( 4-11, 69.3) 16- 4 507 H Gov. Thomas Johnson MD 32 West-1 ( 1-13, 64.7) 15- 5 509 A Urbana MD 32 West-1 (14- 5, 89.7) 9-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Smithsburg 7- 8 o -1 -3 + 2.36 327 H Century 6- 5 o 1 0 1.83 401 A Urbana 5-19 -14 -12 0.00 403 H Walkersville 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.73 405 A Winters Mill 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.50 410 A Tuscarora 10- 4 6 5 0.13 414 A Middletown 5- 9 -4 -11 +++ 6.00 419 N Long Reach 19- 5 14 7 + 2.70 419 A Wilde Lake 11- 8 3 1 1.86 423 H Linganore 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.20 424 A Frederick 11-12 -1 1 - -2.10 429 A North Carroll 11-17 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 501 H Catoctin 16- 4 12 9 0.34 507 H Gov. Thomas Johnson 15- 5 10 14 0.00 509 A Urbana 9-14 -5 -12 ++ 5.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Walkersville 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.73 405 A Winters Mill 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.50 423 H Linganore 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.20 424 A Frederick 11-12 -1 1 - -2.10OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A Middletown 5- 9 -4 -11 +++ 6.00 429 A North Carroll 11-17 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 509 A Urbana 9-14 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 321 H Smithsburg 7- 8 o -1 -3 + 2.36 419 N Long Reach 19- 5 14 7 + 2.70/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.19 Local Power Rank........... 60 Local SOS Rating......... 56.95 Local SOS Rank............. 57 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 84 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 100 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 107 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7