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Region = MD MILL-W Nickname = A Dragons Coach = Rob HorneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.5720978 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Georgetown Prep DC IAC (19- 1, 96.5) 3-16 313 A Sidwell Friends DC MAC ( 6-10, 81.9) 11- 4 320 N St Maria Goretti MD MILL-W ( 5-10, 77.4) 16- 6 321 A St Marys Ryken DC WCAC (12- 7, 95.5) 3-11 327 A Lake Braddock VA 6A Patriot (12- 6, 92.2) 6-10 329 N Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC (13- 6, 95.7) 4-15 401 H Episcopal HS DC IAC (10-12, 82.8) 9-15 402 H John Paul the Great VA 1 Indep (13- 5, 91.1) 18- 9 405 H Flint Hill DC MAC ( 9-10, 88.3) 15- 8 408 H Woodberry Forest VA 1 VIP (12- 6, 95.9) 4-12 411 A Worcester Prep MD MILL-E (11- 5, 86.1) 14- 9 412 A Salisbury MD MILL-E ( 1-11, 64.6) 20- 3 417 A Covenant VA 2 VIC (13- 5, 99.9) 10- 9 424 A The Heights MD MILL-W (10- 8, 90.9) 9- 5 426 A Calverton MD MILL-E (14- 5, 94.0) 6-12 429 A St James DC MAC ( 9-10, 85.1) 13- 9 501 A Trinity Episcopal VA 1 Indep ( 3-10, 80.5) 16- 4 502 H Mercersburg Academy MD MILL-W ( 5-12, 81.5) 17- 6 505 H St Maria Goretti MD MILL-W ( 5-10, 77.4) 13- 2 507 H The Heights MD MILL-W (10- 8, 90.9) 6- 7 510 A Woodberry Forest VA 1 VIP (12- 6, 95.9) 4-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Georgetown Prep 3-16 -13 -7 n/a 313 A Sidwell Friends 11- 4 7 6 0.22 320 N St Maria Goretti 16- 6 10 12 0.00 321 A St Marys Ryken 3-11 -8 -6 -1.10 327 A Lake Braddock 6-10 -4 -3 n/a 329 N Bishop O'Connell 4-15 -11 -5 -- -4.65 401 H Episcopal HS 9-15 -6 8 n/a 402 H John Paul the Great 18- 9 9 0 n/a 405 H Flint Hill 15- 8 7 3 + 3.20 408 H Woodberry Forest 4-12 -8 -4 n/a 411 A Worcester Prep 14- 9 5 2 + 2.44 412 A Salisbury 20- 3 17 24 0.00 417 A Covenant 10- 9 1 -10 n/a 424 A The Heights 9- 5 4 -2 +++ 6.23 426 A Calverton 6-12 -6 -5 -0.62 429 A St James 13- 9 4 3 0.45 501 A Trinity Episcopal 16- 4 12 8 n/a 502 H Mercersburg Academy 17- 6 11 10 0.00 505 H St Maria Goretti 13- 2 11 14 0.00 507 H The Heights 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.19 510 A Woodberry Forest 4-17 -13 -6 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Episcopal HS 9-15 -6 8 --- 329 N Bishop O'Connell 4-15 -11 -5 -- -4.65 308 A Georgetown Prep 3-16 -13 -7 - 408 H Woodberry Forest 4-12 -8 -4 - 507 H The Heights 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.19 510 A Woodberry Forest 4-17 -13 -6 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H John Paul the Great 18- 9 9 0 +++ 417 A Covenant 10- 9 1 -10 +++ 424 A The Heights 9- 5 4 -2 +++ 6.23 405 H Flint Hill 15- 8 7 3 + 3.20 411 A Worcester Prep 14- 9 5 2 + 2.44/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.35 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 73.47 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 23 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0