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Conf = MIDWEST Region = PA Div1-S1 Nickname = A Blue Devils Coach = Mike ErmerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.7236176 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Ephrata PA Lan-Leb (14- 7, 91.6) 11- 7 324 H North Allegheny PA Div1-S2 (13- 7, 97.3) 7- 6 328 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (18- 4, 96.3) 2-11 329 A Hempfield PA Lan-Leb (18- 4, 95.7) 7-10 331 A Shady Side Academy PA Div1-S2 (15- 5, 99.9) 5- 4 402 H Bethel Park PA Div1-S1 ( 9- 9, 91.3) 12- 4 407 A Sewickley Academy PA Div1-S1 ( 9- 8, 93.7) 5- 4 409 A Central Catholic PA Div1-S1 ( 4- 9, 86.7) 12- 8 411 A Worthington Kilbourne OH 1 Central (14- 6, 95.8) 3- 9 412 A Dublin Jerome OH 1 Central (17- 5, 96.1) 2-15 414 H Hampton PA Div1-S2 ( 9- 7, 93.7) 10- 2 417 A Seneca Valley PA Div1-S2 ( 3-12, 88.5) 5- 7 421 H Franklin Regional PA Div1-S2 ( 8- 6, 94.4) 5- 7 424 H Peters Township PA Div1-S1 (11- 9, 94.4) 8- 4 430 A Trinity Area PA Div1-S1 ( 2-16, 76.4) 18- 1 502 N Cleveland St Ignatius OH 1 NE-NW (11- 6, 90.0) 6-12 503 N Olentangy HS OH 1 Central (16- 5, 92.7) 5- 9 507 H Upper St Clair PA Div1-S1 (15- 3, 98.6) 10- 9 514 H Fox Chapel PA Div1-S2 (13- 4, 94.5) 15- 5 519 H North Allegheny PA Div1-S2 (13- 7, 97.3) 10- 9 2o 523 N Shady Side Academy PA Div1-S2 (15- 5, 99.9) 2- 7 528 N Erie Cathedral Prep PA Indep (12- 9, 86.9) 19- 6 531 A Shady Side Academy PA Div1-S2 (15- 5, 99.9) 7- 6 603 N Penncrest PA Centrl (25- 1, 99.9) 10-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Ephrata 11- 7 4 5 n/a 324 H North Allegheny 7- 6 1 0 1.56 328 A Carlisle 2-11 -9 -1 n/a 329 A Hempfield 7-10 -3 0 n/a 331 A Shady Side Academy 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.80 402 H Bethel Park 12- 4 8 5 + 2.49 407 A Sewickley Academy 5- 4 1 1 -0.36 409 A Central Catholic 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.39 411 A Worthington Kilbourne 3- 9 -6 0 n/a 412 A Dublin Jerome 2-15 -13 -1 n/a 414 H Hampton 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.94 417 A Seneca Valley 5- 7 -2 6 --- -8.55 421 H Franklin Regional 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.38 424 H Peters Township 8- 4 4 2 1.59 430 A Trinity Area 18- 1 17 18 0.00 502 N Cleveland St Ignatius 6-12 -6 5 n/a 503 N Olentangy HS 5- 9 -4 3 n/a 507 H Upper St Clair 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.81 514 H Fox Chapel 15- 5 10 2 +++ 7.72 519 H North Allegheny 10- 9 2o 1 0 1.56 523 N Shady Side Academy 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.03 528 N Erie Cathedral Prep 19- 6 13 9 0.93 531 A Shady Side Academy 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.80 603 N Penncrest 10-15 -5 -3 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Carlisle 2-11 -9 -1 --- 412 A Dublin Jerome 2-15 -13 -1 --- 417 A Seneca Valley 5- 7 -2 6 --- -8.55 502 N Cleveland St Ignatius 6-12 -6 5 --- 503 N Olentangy HS 5- 9 -4 3 --- 409 A Central Catholic 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.39 411 A Worthington Kilbourne 3- 9 -6 0 -- 421 H Franklin Regional 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.38 329 A Hempfield 7-10 -3 0 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 H Fox Chapel 15- 5 10 2 +++ 7.72 331 A Shady Side Academy 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.80 414 H Hampton 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.94 531 A Shady Side Academy 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.80 402 H Bethel Park 12- 4 8 5 + 2.49 507 H Upper St Clair 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.81/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.93 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 85.74 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 20.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.210.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 1 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0