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Conf = CathCon Region = MA 2 North Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Matt O'NeilGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.3898239 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 A Burlington MA 2 North ( 8-10, 80.2) 4- 6 402 H Gloucester MA 2 North ( 5-13, 74.8) 8- 5 404 H Xaverian Bros MA 1 South (18- 4, 96.1) 2- 9 408 H Boston College HS MA 1 South (11- 9, 90.0) 4- 6 411 A Catholic Memorial MA 1 South (11- 9, 89.8) 8-13 415 H St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 North ( 9-13, 87.7) 5-13 417 H Beverly MA 2 North (14- 9, 86.9) 7-12 419 H Woburn MA 1 North ( 9-10, 81.3) 7- 5 422 A Chelmsford MA 1 North ( 6-14, 78.3) 3-13 424 A Wakefield MA 2 North (15- 5, 88.4) 4-15 429 A Boston College HS MA 1 South (11- 9, 90.0) 4-11 501 H Arlington Catholic MA 3 CenEast (14- 6, 84.3) 10- 9 503 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 South (18- 4, 96.1) 3-16 506 H Catholic Memorial MA 1 South (11- 9, 89.8) 5-15 508 A St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 North ( 9-13, 87.7) 5-13 515 H Medford MA 1 North (11-10, 76.8) 10- 6 519 A Danvers MA 2 North (10- 9, 83.4) 9- 6 521 A Central Catholic MA 1 North (13- 7, 84.6) 9-10 528 H Shawsheen Valley RVT MA 2 North (10-11, 71.2) 15- 3 601 A Melrose MA 2 North (16- 4, 87.0) 7-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Burlington 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.29 402 H Gloucester 8- 5 3 4 -1.90 404 H Xaverian Bros 2- 9 -7 -16 + 3.00 408 H Boston College HS 4- 6 -2 -10 +++ 8.00 411 A Catholic Memorial 8-13 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 415 H St Johns Prep Danvers 5-13 -8 -7 -0.01 417 H Beverly 7-12 -5 -7 + 2.15 419 H Woburn 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.59 422 A Chelmsford 3-13 -10 0 --- -10.28 424 A Wakefield 4-15 -11 -9 -0.15 429 A Boston College HS 4-11 -7 -11 + 3.00 501 H Arlington Catholic 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 5.62 503 A Xaverian Bros 3-16 -13 -17 0.00 506 H Catholic Memorial 5-15 -10 -10 0.00 508 A St Johns Prep Danvers 5-13 -8 -9 1.17 515 H Medford 10- 6 4 2 1.12 519 A Danvers 9- 6 3 -4 +++ 7.84 521 A Central Catholic 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.11 528 H Shawsheen Valley RVT 15- 3 12 8 1.50 601 A Melrose 7-10 -3 -8 ++ 5.44UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Chelmsford 3-13 -10 0 --- -10.28OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Boston College HS 4- 6 -2 -10 +++ 8.00 519 A Danvers 9- 6 3 -4 +++ 7.84 411 A Catholic Memorial 8-13 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 501 H Arlington Catholic 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 5.62 521 A Central Catholic 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.11 601 A Melrose 7-10 -3 -8 ++ 5.44 404 H Xaverian Bros 2- 9 -7 -16 + 3.00 417 H Beverly 7-12 -5 -7 + 2.15 419 H Woburn 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.59 429 A Boston College HS 4-11 -7 -11 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.12 Local Power Rank........... 77 Local SOS Rating......... 67.77 Local SOS Rank............. 26 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 75 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 79 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 114 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-14 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7