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Conf = ECIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Colonels Coach = Mark FarnsworthGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.5804062 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Fitch-Groton CT M ( 9- 8, 71.6) 10- 3 414 A Hall-West Hartford CT L (12- 5, 81.0) 6-11 417 A Montville CT S ( 0-14, 51.1) 14- 7 421 A Saint Bernard/Wheeler CT S ( 3-13, 56.5) 15- 5 422 H Waterford CT S ( 5-11, 66.0) 11- 8 424 H Northwest Catholic CT S (14- 6, 79.6) 12-13 429 H Stonington CT S ( 9- 8, 75.5) 9- 5 503 A Old Saybrook CT S ( 9- 9, 69.2) 15- 5 506 H Bacon Academy CT S (11- 7, 75.4) 12- 9 508 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler CT S ( 3-13, 56.5) 20- 3 510 A Woodstock Academy CT M ( 4-11, 63.8) 16- 6 513 H Montville CT S ( 0-14, 51.1) 22- 2 515 A Waterford CT S ( 5-11, 66.0) 7- 6 517 H East Lyme CT M (15- 4, 80.6) 4- 8 520 H Somers CT S (16- 3, 83.5) 8-16 522 A Stonington CT S ( 9- 8, 75.5) 12- 9 528 N Fitch-Groton CT M ( 9- 8, 71.6) 8- 7 o 530 N East Lyme CT M (15- 4, 80.6) 6-10 604 H Guilford CT M (11- 9, 82.6) 4-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Fitch-Groton 10- 3 7 3 + 3.45 414 A Hall-West Hartford 6-11 -5 -5 0.82 417 A Montville 14- 7 7 24 - -3.00 421 A Saint Bernard/Wheeler 15- 5 10 18 0.00 422 H Waterford 11- 8 3 10 --- -7.00 424 H Northwest Catholic 12-13 -1 -2 1.75 429 H Stonington 9- 5 4 1 + 2.64 503 A Old Saybrook 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.09 506 H Bacon Academy 12- 9 3 1 1.53 508 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler 20- 3 17 20 0.00 510 A Woodstock Academy 16- 6 10 11 0.00 513 H Montville 22- 2 20 25 0.00 515 A Waterford 7- 6 1 9 --- -8.14 517 H East Lyme 4- 8 -4 -3 -0.24 520 H Somers 8-16 -8 -6 -1.39 522 A Stonington 12- 9 3 0 + 3.33 528 N Fitch-Groton 8- 7 o 1 4 - -3.39 530 N East Lyme 6-10 -4 -4 0.60 604 H Guilford 4-13 -9 -5 - -3.23UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Waterford 11- 8 3 10 --- -7.00 515 A Waterford 7- 6 1 9 --- -8.14 417 A Montville 14- 7 7 24 - -3.00 528 N Fitch-Groton 8- 7 o 1 4 - -3.39 604 H Guilford 4-13 -9 -5 - -3.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Old Saybrook 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.09 410 A Fitch-Groton 10- 3 7 3 + 3.45 429 H Stonington 9- 5 4 1 + 2.64 522 A Stonington 12- 9 3 0 + 3.33/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.00 Local Power Rank........... 40 Local SOS Rating......... 43.24 Local SOS Rank............. 59 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 36 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 43 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 36 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0