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Conf = 4A Region = NC Conf-05 Nickname = C Falcons Coach = Jamie SliwaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.8361816 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 228 H Chapel Hill NC Conf-06 (12- 7, 86.7) 5- 7 305 A Panther Creek NC Conf-03 ( 9-11, 84.9) 11- 7 308 N Calvert Hall MD A MIAA (13- 6, 90.0) 1-22 311 A Cardinal Gibbons NC Conf-06 (22- 0, 99.9) 6-15 314 A East Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (16- 4, 92.7) 11-15 321 A Carrboro NC Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 80.6) 12- 5 327 H Durham Riverside NC Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 83.6) 9- 5 328 A Roxboro Community Sch NC Conf-05 ( 7-10, 76.4) 17- 5 331 H Northern Durham NC Conf-05 ( 2-11, 71.0) 18- 1 401 H NorthWest Guilford NC Conf-08 (20- 1, 95.8) 4-15 411 H Carrboro NC Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 80.6) 10- 3 422 A Northern Durham NC Conf-05 ( 2-11, 71.0) 11- 2 501 A East Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (16- 4, 92.7) 7-11 502 H Roxboro Community Sch NC Conf-05 ( 7-10, 76.4) 17- 6 503 A Durham Riverside NC Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 83.6) 11- 4 509 A Middle Creek NC Conf-03 (16- 2, 94.9) 9- 8 o 513 H Panther Creek NC Conf-03 ( 9-11, 84.9) 10- 6 516 A East Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (16- 4, 92.7) 10- 8 520 A Apex NC Conf-03 (19- 3, 95.9) 2-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Chapel Hill 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.55 305 A Panther Creek 11- 7 4 3 0.87 308 N Calvert Hall 1-22 -21 -1 n/a 311 A Cardinal Gibbons 6-15 -9 -11 1.00 314 A East Chapel Hill 11-15 -4 -4 0.69 321 A Carrboro 12- 5 7 7 -0.43 327 H Durham Riverside 9- 5 4 5 -1.69 328 A Roxboro Community Sch 17- 5 12 11 0.00 331 H Northern Durham 18- 1 17 18 0.00 401 H NorthWest Guilford 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.47 411 H Carrboro 10- 3 7 8 -1.68 422 A Northern Durham 11- 2 9 16 -1.00 501 A East Chapel Hill 7-11 -4 -4 0.69 502 H Roxboro Community Sch 17- 6 11 12 0.00 503 A Durham Riverside 11- 4 7 4 + 2.56 509 A Middle Creek 9- 8 o 1 -6 +++ 7.86 513 H Panther Creek 10- 6 4 4 -0.38 516 A East Chapel Hill 10- 8 2 -4 +++ 6.69 520 A Apex 2-10 -8 -7 -0.11UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 N Calvert Hall 1-22 -21 -1 --- 228 H Chapel Hill 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.55 401 H NorthWest Guilford 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.47OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 A Middle Creek 9- 8 o 1 -6 +++ 7.86 516 A East Chapel Hill 10- 8 2 -4 +++ 6.69 503 A Durham Riverside 11- 4 7 4 + 2.56/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.62 Local Power Rank........... 17 Local SOS Rating......... 69.77 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 24 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7