Herndon                       2 - 9


 
                                     Region = VA 6A Concord          
   Nickname = A Hornets              Coach  =   Dave Baggetta         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.2001801    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Annandale              VA 6A Patriot ( 4-11, 80.6)    12- 7   
 322 H West Springfield       VA 6A Patriot ( 5-10, 84.7)     8-13   
 324 A Chantilly              VA 6A Concord (15- 3, 95.7)     5-13   
 327 H Westfield              VA 6A Concord (10- 8, 92.3)     4-13   
 331 A Washington-Lee         VA 6A Liberty ( 7- 8, 84.0)     8-12   
 408 H Hayfield               VA 6A Liberty ( 4- 7, 79.9)    14- 6   
 410 A Oakton                 VA 6A Concord ( 5-12, 85.3)     4- 9   
 422 H South Lakes            VA 6A Liberty ( 8- 6, 91.2)     9-18   
 429 H Robinson               VA 6A Concord (18- 3, 99.9)     7-15   
 506 A Centreville            VA 6A Concord ( 6- 9, 86.9)     3-16   
 515 A Westfield              VA 6A Concord (10- 8, 92.3)     5-18   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Annandale              12- 7       5     0    ++     4.45
   322 H West Springfield        8-13      -5    -3          -1.47
   324 A Chantilly               5-13      -8   -17    +      2.00
   327 H Westfield               4-13      -9   -11           1.00
   331 A Washington-Lee          8-12      -4    -5           1.63
   408 H Hayfield               14- 6       8     1    +++    6.71
   410 A Oakton                  4- 9      -5    -6           1.95
   422 H South Lakes             9-18      -9    -9           0.99
   429 H Robinson                7-15      -8   -18    +      2.00
   506 A Centreville             3-16     -13    -8          -1.45
   515 A Westfield               5-18     -13   -13           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Hayfield               14- 6       8     1    +++    6.71
   319 H Annandale              12- 7       5     0    ++     4.45
   324 A Chantilly               5-13      -8   -17    +      2.00
   429 H Robinson                7-15      -8   -18    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.76 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.18 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.3


  
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