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Conf = SCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Tigers Coach = Paul DeonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.5531235 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 409 A Fairfield Prep CT L (14- 6, 91.7) 2-16 411 A Hamden CT L ( 7-10, 75.2) 8- 6 417 A North Haven CT M (13- 5, 83.7) 6-12 422 H Xavier CT L (10- 8, 84.1) 7-13 424 H New Fairfield CT M (10- 9, 82.2) 2-10 426 H Cheshire HS CT L ( 4-12, 77.3) 9-11 428 H Simsbury CT L (18- 2, 90.4) 7-13 501 H Amity Regional CT L (15- 5, 84.3) 8- 6 503 A East Lyme CT M (15- 4, 80.6) 11- 3 506 A Shelton CT L ( 9- 8, 76.4) 16-11 508 H Notre Dame-West Haven CT M (11- 7, 80.1) 10- 4 510 H Joel Barlow CT M (12- 8, 84.8) 9- 6 512 A Branford CT M ( 6-10, 71.8) 12- 2 515 A Glastonbury CT L (13- 6, 84.8) 2- 9 517 H Guilford CT M (11- 9, 82.6) 7- 8 519 H Stonington CT S ( 9- 8, 75.5) 14- 5 531 H Bethel CT M ( 6-11, 72.8) 9- 7 604 A North Haven CT M (13- 5, 83.7) 13- 5 607 A Guilford CT M (11- 9, 82.6) 16- 4 611 N Darien CT M (23- 0, 99.9) 3-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Fairfield Prep 2-16 -14 -10 0.00 411 A Hamden 8- 6 2 5 - -3.56 417 A North Haven 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.02 422 H Xavier 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.30 424 H New Fairfield 2-10 -8 0 --- -8.28 426 H Cheshire HS 9-11 -2 5 --- -7.11 428 H Simsbury 7-13 -6 -7 1.92 501 H Amity Regional 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.90 503 A East Lyme 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.85 506 A Shelton 16-11 5 4 0.68 508 H Notre Dame-West Haven 10- 4 6 2 + 3.65 510 H Joel Barlow 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 5.39 512 A Branford 12- 2 10 8 1.01 515 A Glastonbury 2- 9 -7 -4 - -2.99 517 H Guilford 7- 8 -1 0 -0.82 519 H Stonington 14- 5 9 6 + 2.05 531 H Bethel 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.68 604 A North Haven 13- 5 8 -2 +++ 10.98 607 A Guilford 16- 4 12 -1 +++ 11.87 611 N Darien 3-18 -15 -18 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H New Fairfield 2-10 -8 0 --- -8.28 426 H Cheshire HS 9-11 -2 5 --- -7.11 531 H Bethel 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.68 422 H Xavier 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.30 411 A Hamden 8- 6 2 5 - -3.56 417 A North Haven 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.02 515 A Glastonbury 2- 9 -7 -4 - -2.99OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A East Lyme 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.85 604 A North Haven 13- 5 8 -2 +++ 10.98 607 A Guilford 16- 4 12 -1 +++ 11.87 510 H Joel Barlow 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 5.39 501 H Amity Regional 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.90 508 H Notre Dame-West Haven 10- 4 6 2 + 3.65 519 H Stonington 14- 5 9 6 + 2.05/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.59 Local Power Rank........... 24 Local SOS Rating......... 62.04 Local SOS Rank............. 16 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 23 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 30 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -14.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -11.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7