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Region = MD 32 West Nickname = D Falcons Coach = Jesse MetrukGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.6093597 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 A North Carroll MD 21 West (11- 5, 86.1) 12-11 322 N Patterson Mill MD 21 North (10-10, 81.2) 6- 7 4o 326 A Francis Scott Key MD 21 West ( 1-14, 66.9) 16- 9 328 H Oakdale MD 21 West (10- 8, 81.0) 16- 3 330 A Fallston MD 21 East (16- 4, 90.1) 6-11 330 N Northern/Calv Cty MD 43 East (12- 3, 89.9) 7- 6 o 409 A Linganore MD 43 North ( 5- 9, 74.7) 17- 5 411 A Liberty MD 32 West ( 8- 7, 79.6) 15- 6 416 H Manchester Valley MD 21 West ( 6- 9, 75.3) 11- 3 418 H Westminster MD 43 North (19- 0, 99.9) 5-18 424 H Tuscarora MD 43 North ( 5-12, 72.7) 12- 6 430 A South Carroll MD 21 West (10- 7, 85.1) 15- 9 502 H Century MD 32 West (11- 8, 82.6) 7- 8 2o 504 H Wootton MD 43 West (12- 3, 90.2) 12-17 508 H Liberty MD 32 West ( 8- 7, 79.6) 9- 3 511 A Walkersville MD 32 West ( 9- 5, 81.6) 15- 7 513 A Middletown MD 32 West (12- 3, 87.8) 8- 7 515 H Century MD 32 West (11- 8, 82.6) 7- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A North Carroll 12-11 1 0 1.36 322 N Patterson Mill 6- 7 4o -1 4 -- -5.97 326 A Francis Scott Key 16- 9 7 18 - -3.00 328 H Oakdale 16- 3 13 5 ++ 4.32 330 A Fallston 6-11 -5 -4 -0.58 330 N Northern/Calv Cty 7- 6 o 1 -3 ++ 4.73 409 A Linganore 17- 5 12 10 0.00 411 A Liberty 15- 6 9 6 + 2.84 416 H Manchester Valley 11- 3 8 11 - -2.00 418 H Westminster 5-18 -13 -13 0.00 424 H Tuscarora 12- 6 6 13 -- -4.00 430 A South Carroll 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.35 502 H Century 7- 8 2o -1 4 -- -5.09 504 H Wootton 12-17 -5 -3 -1.46 508 H Liberty 9- 3 6 7 -1.13 511 A Walkersville 15- 7 8 4 + 3.84 513 A Middletown 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.07 515 H Century 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.09UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 N Patterson Mill 6- 7 4o -1 4 -- -5.97 424 H Tuscarora 12- 6 6 13 -- -4.00 502 H Century 7- 8 2o -1 4 -- -5.09 515 H Century 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.09 326 A Francis Scott Key 16- 9 7 18 - -3.00 416 H Manchester Valley 11- 3 8 11 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Oakdale 16- 3 13 5 ++ 4.32 330 N Northern/Calv Cty 7- 6 o 1 -3 ++ 4.73 430 A South Carroll 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.35 411 A Liberty 15- 6 9 6 + 2.84 511 A Walkersville 15- 7 8 4 + 3.84 513 A Middletown 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.07/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.21 Local Power Rank........... 24 Local SOS Rating......... 62.98 Local SOS Rank............. 16 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 16 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 149 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 38 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7