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Conf = D1 Region = CA Marin Nickname = A Red-Tailed Haw Coach = s Mike SmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.8625259 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 226 H Bella Vista CA SanJoq ( 6-13, 83.5) 10-18 228 A Serra-San Mateo CA WCAL (10-10, 81.6) 9-23 305 A Miramonte CA DFAL (12-10, 85.3) 5-12 308 H Cardinal Newman CA Marin (11-12, 82.4) 4- 7 312 A Marin Catholic CA Marin (17- 7, 95.0) 3-20 316 H Urban School CA BayArea ( 8-10, 76.9) 7- 8 319 A Redwood CA Marin (20- 6, 99.9) 3-16 321 A Novato CA Marin (21- 5, 97.9) 4-24 325 H San Rafael CA Marin ( 5-10, 75.0) 18- 8 328 A Terra Linda CA Marin ( 9- 9, 80.7) 11-13 402 H Branson CA Marin ( 4-13, 74.0) 17- 9 418 H San Marin CA Marin ( 0-11, 60.9) 12- 3 419 A Davis CA SanJoq (17- 4, 94.7) 4-17 420 H Jesuit-Sacramento CA SanJoq (13- 8, 88.5) 5-14 423 H Justin Siena CA Marin ( 5-10, 76.8) 12- 7 425 A Sir Francis Drake CA Marin ( 6- 9, 77.7) 14- 3 430 A Cardinal Newman CA Marin (11-12, 82.4) 7-10 503 H University SF CA BayArea (11-10, 86.0) 12-11 507 A Cardinal Newman CA Marin (11-12, 82.4) 16- 7 509 A Redwood CA Marin (20- 6, 99.9) 2-21 515 N Marin Academy CA BayArea (16- 5, 91.3) 3-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 H Bella Vista 10-18 -8 -4 - -3.80 228 A Serra-San Mateo 9-23 -14 -3 n/a 305 A Miramonte 5-12 -7 -7 0.57 308 H Cardinal Newman 4- 7 -3 -3 0.08 312 A Marin Catholic 3-20 -17 -17 0.00 316 H Urban School 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.38 319 A Redwood 3-16 -13 -22 0.00 321 A Novato 4-24 -20 -20 0.00 325 H San Rafael 18- 8 10 4 ++ 5.65 328 A Terra Linda 11-13 -2 -2 0.93 402 H Branson 17- 9 8 5 + 2.71 418 H San Marin 12- 3 9 18 -1.00 419 A Davis 4-17 -13 -16 0.00 420 H Jesuit-Sacramento 5-14 -9 -9 0.20 423 H Justin Siena 12- 7 5 2 + 2.44 425 A Sir Francis Drake 14- 3 11 0 +++ 9.93 430 A Cardinal Newman 7-10 -3 -4 1.67 503 H University SF 12-11 1 -6 +++ 7.66 507 A Cardinal Newman 16- 7 9 -4 +++ 13.67 509 A Redwood 2-21 -19 -22 0.00 515 N Marin Academy 3-17 -14 -12 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Serra-San Mateo 9-23 -14 -3 --- 226 H Bella Vista 10-18 -8 -4 - -3.80 316 H Urban School 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.38OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Sir Francis Drake 14- 3 11 0 +++ 9.93 503 H University SF 12-11 1 -6 +++ 7.66 507 A Cardinal Newman 16- 7 9 -4 +++ 13.67 325 H San Rafael 18- 8 10 4 ++ 5.65 402 H Branson 17- 9 8 5 + 2.71 423 H Justin Siena 12- 7 5 2 + 2.44/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.52 Local Power Rank........... 35 Local SOS Rating......... 67.01 Local SOS Rank............. 21 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 25 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 46 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 38 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-14 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -17.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -16.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -8.0