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Conf = CentMass Region = MA 2 MidWacA Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Nate SkermontGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.0535889 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 A Nashoba Regional MA 2 MidWacA ( 9-10, 89.4) 10- 4 404 H Westborough MA 2 MidWacA (11- 9, 92.9) 12- 3 406 A Nipmuc Regional MA 2 MidMass (14- 6, 90.1) 10- 7 409 A Wachusett MA 2 MidWacA ( 6-12, 84.8) 12- 3 411 H Groton-Dunstable MA 2 MidWacA (12-10, 87.8) 11- 3 413 A Grafton MA 2 MidMass (19- 4, 98.1) 8- 6 415 H Hudson MA 2 MidWacB ( 3-14, 74.8) 17- 0 418 H Tantasqua Regional MA 2 MidMass ( 5-13, 82.6) 15- 2 420 A St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 Cathlc (18- 4, 99.9) 2- 7 422 H Minnechaug MA 2 Wheel (11- 9, 88.0) 9- 8 o 424 A Algonquin MA 2 MidWacA (16- 7, 94.1) 4- 6 430 A North Middlesex MA 2 MidWacA ( 2-16, 77.2) 14- 1 502 H Nashoba Regional MA 2 MidWacA ( 9-10, 89.4) 9- 8 507 A Westborough MA 2 MidWacA (11- 9, 92.9) 4-14 509 H Wachusett MA 2 MidWacA ( 6-12, 84.8) 14- 4 511 A Tantasqua Regional MA 2 MidMass ( 5-13, 82.6) 13- 0 514 A Groton-Dunstable MA 2 MidWacA (12-10, 87.8) 6- 5 5o 516 H Algonquin MA 2 MidWacA (16- 7, 94.1) 7- 9 517 H Framingham MA 1 (12- 6, 90.5) 5- 7 522 H North Middlesex MA 2 MidWacA ( 2-16, 77.2) 10- 2 529 H Nashoba Regional MA 2 MidWacA ( 9-10, 89.4) 12- 9 601 H Nipmuc Regional MA 2 MidMass (14- 6, 90.1) 12- 4 604 N Grafton MA 2 MidMass (19- 4, 98.1) 3- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Nashoba Regional 10- 4 6 5 0.10 404 H Westborough 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.83 406 A Nipmuc Regional 10- 7 3 5 - -2.22 409 A Wachusett 12- 3 9 10 -1.00 411 H Groton-Dunstable 11- 3 8 9 -1.22 413 A Grafton 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.87 415 H Hudson 17- 0 17 22 0.00 418 H Tantasqua Regional 15- 2 13 14 0.00 420 A St Johns Shrewsbury 2- 7 -5 -4 -0.38 422 H Minnechaug 9- 8 o 1 9 n/a 424 A Algonquin 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.14 430 A North Middlesex 14- 1 13 18 0.00 502 H Nashoba Regional 9- 8 1 7 --- -6.64 507 A Westborough 4-14 -10 2 --- -12.42 509 H Wachusett 14- 4 10 12 0.00 511 A Tantasqua Regional 13- 0 13 12 0.00 514 A Groton-Dunstable 6- 5 5o 1 7 --- -6.47 516 H Algonquin 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.89 517 H Framingham 5- 7 -2 6 n/a 522 H North Middlesex 10- 2 8 19 - -2.00 529 H Nashoba Regional 12- 9 3 7 -- -4.64 601 H Nipmuc Regional 12- 4 8 6 1.04 604 N Grafton 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Minnechaug 9- 8 o 1 9 --- 502 H Nashoba Regional 9- 8 1 7 --- -6.64 507 A Westborough 4-14 -10 2 --- -12.42 514 A Groton-Dunstable 6- 5 5o 1 7 --- -6.47 517 H Framingham 5- 7 -2 6 --- 516 H Algonquin 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.89 529 H Nashoba Regional 12- 9 3 7 -- -4.64 406 A Nipmuc Regional 10- 7 3 5 - -2.22 424 A Algonquin 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.14 522 H North Middlesex 10- 2 8 19 - -2.00 604 N Grafton 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Westborough 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.83 413 A Grafton 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.87/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.15 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 74.52 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 12.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating.260.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3