Santa Rosa                    7 - 4


 
   Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-W           
   Nickname = A Steelheads           Coach  =   Jamie Poore           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   92.4710388    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 A Napa                   CA    NCLA-W  ( 1-14, 73.8)    13- 2   
 303 A Rio City               CA    NCLA-N  ( 2-12, 71.3)    13- 4   
 309 A Petaluma               CA    NCLA-W  (18- 3, 98.5)    10-11   
 314 H Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-W  (19- 3, 99.9)     4- 8   
 402 H Petaluma               CA    NCLA-W  (18- 3, 98.5)     6-12   
 411 H Rancho Cotati          CA    NCLA-W  ( 3- 9, 80.2)    11- 9   
 414 H Morgan Hill            CA    NCLA-S  ( 0-11, 63.3)    19- 3   
 417 A Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-W  (19- 3, 99.9)     6-16   
 421 H Napa                   CA    NCLA-W  ( 1-14, 73.8)    15- 2   
 427 A Rancho Cotati          CA    NCLA-W  ( 3- 9, 80.2)    14- 3   
 428 H San Jose               CA    NCLA-S  ( 3- 9, 79.5)    14- 9   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Napa                   13- 2      11    14           0.00
   303 A Rio City               13- 4       9    17          -1.00
   309 A Petaluma               10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.82
   314 H Casa Grande             4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.69
   402 H Petaluma                6-12      -6    -7           1.27
   411 H Rancho Cotati          11- 9       2    10    ---   -8.00
   414 H Morgan Hill            19- 3      16    27           0.00
   417 A Casa Grande             6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   421 H Napa                   15- 2      13    17           0.00
   427 A Rancho Cotati          14- 3      11     8           1.58
   428 H San Jose               14- 9       5    11    --    -5.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Rancho Cotati          11- 9       2    10    ---   -8.00
   428 H San Jose               14- 9       5    11    --    -5.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Petaluma               10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.82
   314 H Casa Grande             4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.69




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.94 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.56 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.7


  
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