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Conf = Div I Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows Coach = Jay MauroGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.1930237 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 315 A Archbishop Spalding MD A MIAA (12- 9, 87.6) 7- 8 327 H North Babylon NY A Sec 11 ( 4-12, 70.5) 18- 8 403 A West Islip NY A Sec 11 (12- 6, 86.6) 3- 9 405 H Penfield NY A Sec 5 (13- 8, 95.0) 9- 8 406 A Hauppauge NY A Sec 11 ( 7- 9, 78.7) 5- 6 409 H Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (22- 0, 99.9) 6-17 411 A Middle Country NY A Sec 11 ( 7- 9, 77.2) 8- 2 415 H Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 (11- 7, 84.6) 10- 9 o 417 H William Floyd NY A Sec 11 ( 4-12, 72.6) 11- 1 419 A Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 (14- 4, 89.2) 8-12 422 A Sachem East NY A Sec 11 ( 7-10, 79.4) 12- 8 427 H Riverhead NY A Sec 11 (10- 7, 80.3) 9- 4 502 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 8, 79.7) 13- 5 504 A Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (16- 3, 92.1) 8-18 507 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A Sec 11 ( 5-11, 78.2) 16-12 510 H Northport NY A Sec 11 (15- 3, 91.1) 9-18 516 H Patchogue-Medford NY A Sec 11 (11- 5, 79.0) 17- 3 521 A Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (16- 3, 92.1) 8-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A Archbishop Spalding 7- 8 -1 -4 n/a 327 H North Babylon 18- 8 10 13 0.00 403 A West Islip 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.54 405 H Penfield 9- 8 1 -10 n/a 406 A Hauppauge 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.49 409 H Ward Melville 6-17 -11 -15 0.00 411 A Middle Country 8- 2 6 5 0.01 415 H Bay Shore 10- 9 o 1 0 1.15 417 H William Floyd 11- 1 10 11 0.00 419 A Smithtown East 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.07 422 A Sachem East 12- 8 4 3 0.23 427 H Riverhead 9- 4 5 4 0.93 502 A Half Hollow Hills West 13- 5 8 3 ++ 4.56 504 A Smithtown West 8-18 -10 -8 -1.09 507 H Half Hollow Hills East 16-12 4 6 - -2.17 510 H Northport 9-18 -9 -6 - -2.33 516 H Patchogue-Medford 17- 3 14 5 ++ 4.55 521 A Smithtown West 8-13 -5 -8 + 3.91UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Hauppauge 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.49 403 A West Islip 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.54 507 H Half Hollow Hills East 16-12 4 6 - -2.17 510 H Northport 9-18 -9 -6 - -2.33OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Penfield 9- 8 1 -10 +++ 502 A Half Hollow Hills West 13- 5 8 3 ++ 4.56 516 H Patchogue-Medford 17- 3 14 5 ++ 4.55 315 A Archbishop Spalding 7- 8 -1 -4 + 419 A Smithtown East 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.07 521 A Smithtown West 8-13 -5 -8 + 3.91/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.78 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 65.89 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 43 Local Quality Win Rating. 0.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0