Providence Academy            3 - 5


 
                                     Region = MN 2  West             
   Nickname = N Lions                Coach  =   Frank Walker          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.4305038    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 510 A Henry Sibley           MN 2  East    ( 2- 9, 72.9)     3- 1   
 513 H Becker                 MN 2  West    ( 9- 5, 88.5)     4- 6   
 515 H St Michael-Albertville MN 2  West    ( 3-10, 75.0)    10- 4   
 517 A MontiQuois             MN 2  West    ( 7- 4, 90.7)     7-10   
 520 A Shakopee               MN 2  South   ( 6- 6, 86.9)     2-12   
 521 H St Cloud North         MN 2  West    ( 5- 7, 85.9)     3-10   
 529 H St Michael-Albertville MN 2  West    ( 3-10, 75.0)     9- 5   
 530 A Duluth                 MN 2  North   (13- 1, 94.9)     3- 9   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Henry Sibley            3- 1       2     7    --    -5.13
   513 H Becker                  4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.80
   515 H St Michael-Albertville 10- 4       6     6          -0.69
   517 A MontiQuois              7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   520 A Shakopee                2-12     -10    -6    -     -3.18
   521 H St Cloud North          3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.84
   529 H St Michael-Albertville  9- 5       4     6    -     -2.69
   530 A Duluth                  3- 9      -6   -14    ++     4.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Henry Sibley            3- 1       2     7    --    -5.13
   520 A Shakopee                2-12     -10    -6    -     -3.18
   521 H St Cloud North          3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.84
   529 H St Michael-Albertville  9- 5       4     6    -     -2.69


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A MontiQuois              7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   513 H Becker                  4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.80
   530 A Duluth                  3- 9      -6   -14    ++     4.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.89 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.19 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0


  
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