Region = MD 21 West Nickname = D Bears Coach = Michael SkenaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.8330994 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Gov. Thomas Johnson MD 43 North ( 4-12, 67.8) 9- 0 326 H Urbana MD 43 North (13- 3, 87.0) 6- 7 328 A Winters Mill MD 32 West (12- 6, 86.2) 3-16 403 H Catoctin MD 21 West ( 8- 6, 75.5) 12- 2 405 H University WV WVSLA (18- 3, 99.9) 8- 9 405 N Bishop McNamara DC WCAC ( 5-11, 73.3) 18- 3 411 H Tuscarora MD 43 North ( 5-12, 72.7) 8- 4 416 A Linganore MD 43 North ( 5- 9, 74.7) 7- 8 o 418 H Walkersville MD 32 West ( 9- 5, 81.6) 5- 6 3o 423 A Century MD 32 West (11- 8, 82.6) 2- 5 425 H Brunswick MD 21 West ( 4-11, 66.9) 14- 2 427 H Smithsburg MD 21 West ( 6- 8, 73.7) 11- 3 430 A Frederick MD 32 West ( 6- 9, 71.6) 14- 4 502 H Middletown MD 32 West (12- 3, 87.8) 3- 6 511 H Smithsburg MD 21 West ( 6- 8, 73.7) 10- 5 513 A Catoctin MD 21 West ( 8- 6, 75.5) 11- 4 515 H South Carroll MD 21 West (10- 7, 85.1) 8- 6 518 N Patterson Mill MD 21 North (10-10, 81.2) 0- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Gov. Thomas Johnson 9- 0 9 13 -1.00 326 H Urbana 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.51 328 A Winters Mill 3-16 -13 -5 -- -4.32 403 H Catoctin 12- 2 10 5 ++ 4.02 405 H University 8- 9 -1 -17 n/a 405 N Bishop McNamara 18- 3 15 7 n/a 411 H Tuscarora 8- 4 4 8 -- -4.77 416 A Linganore 7- 8 o -1 5 --- -6.79 418 H Walkersville 5- 6 3o -1 0 -0.94 423 A Century 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.92 425 H Brunswick 14- 2 12 14 0.00 427 H Smithsburg 11- 3 8 7 0.18 430 A Frederick 14- 4 10 8 1.06 502 H Middletown 3- 6 -3 -6 + 3.29 511 H Smithsburg 10- 5 5 7 - -2.82 513 A Catoctin 11- 4 7 5 2.00 515 H South Carroll 8- 6 2 -3 ++ 5.57 518 N Patterson Mill 0- 9 -9 0 --- -8.78UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
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LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.02 Local Power Rank........... 41 Local SOS Rating......... 56.08 Local SOS Rank............. 51 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 51 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 99 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 80 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0