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Region = VA WesCent Nickname = A Mustangs Coach = Matt HicksGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.2219086 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Culpeper County VA Evergrn (11- 5, 83.8) 17- 6 315 H Fauquier VA Evergrn ( 9- 6, 83.0) 16- 4 322 H Rockbridge County VA West ( 3-10, 79.0) 20- 7 326 H Salem VA West (13- 3, 98.2) 9-11 405 A Fauquier VA Evergrn ( 9- 6, 83.0) 12- 6 409 H Charlottesville VA WesCent ( 7- 7, 89.5) 9-11 416 H Albemarle VA WesCent (15- 4, 96.3) 8- 9 419 A Fluvanna County VA WesCent ( 3- 9, 74.4) 17- 4 423 A Western Albemarle VA WesCent ( 7-11, 89.3) 8- 6 426 A Charlottesville VA WesCent ( 7- 7, 89.5) 11-15 430 A E.C. Glass VA West (14- 6, 96.4) 6-16 502 A Albemarle VA WesCent (15- 4, 96.3) 5-11 509 H Fluvanna County VA WesCent ( 3- 9, 74.4) 20- 5 510 H Western Albemarle VA WesCent ( 7-11, 89.3) 11-10 o 513 A Charlottesville VA WesCent ( 7- 7, 89.5) 9- 8 517 H Western Albemarle VA WesCent ( 7-11, 89.3) 6- 7 521 A E.C. Glass VA West (14- 6, 96.4) 6-21PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Culpeper County 17- 6 11 7 + 2.62 315 H Fauquier 16- 4 12 8 1.76 322 H Rockbridge County 20- 7 13 12 0.00 326 H Salem 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.98 405 A Fauquier 12- 6 6 6 -0.37 409 H Charlottesville 9-11 -2 1 - -3.68 416 H Albemarle 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.11 419 A Fluvanna County 17- 4 13 14 0.00 423 A Western Albemarle 8- 6 2 0 1.93 426 A Charlottesville 11-15 -4 0 - -3.80 430 A E.C. Glass 6-16 -10 -7 - -2.96 502 A Albemarle 5-11 -6 -6 0.99 509 H Fluvanna County 20- 5 15 16 0.00 510 H Western Albemarle 11-10 o 1 1 -0.95 513 A Charlottesville 9- 8 1 0 1.20 517 H Western Albemarle 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.95 521 A E.C. Glass 6-21 -15 -7 - -2.96UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Charlottesville 9-11 -2 1 - -3.68 426 A Charlottesville 11-15 -4 0 - -3.80 430 A E.C. Glass 6-16 -10 -7 - -2.96 517 H Western Albemarle 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.95 521 A E.C. Glass 6-21 -15 -7 - -2.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Salem 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.98 416 H Albemarle 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.11 313 H Culpeper County 17- 6 11 7 + 2.62
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.27 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 73.76 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 17 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 45 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0