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Conf = SWCIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Mustangs Coach = Alan TarsiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.8138275 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Joel Barlow CT M (20- 2, 97.5) 4-19 406 H Brookfield CT S (13- 6, 90.5) 0-16 409 A Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 8-10, 75.6) 11- 9 411 H Bethel CT M (14- 6, 83.7) 2-15 413 H Watertown CT M ( 6-12, 66.6) 11- 1 416 H Bunnell-Stratford CT M ( 5-11, 75.3) 6- 5 418 A New Milford CT L (11- 7, 87.5) 4-14 422 A Watertown CT M ( 6-12, 66.6) 9- 4 423 A Stratford CT M ( 6-10, 73.4) 9-10 425 H Pomperaug CT M ( 9-10, 77.8) 7-10 429 A St Paul Catholic CT S ( 8-10, 66.5) 11- 4 502 H Masuk-Monroe CT M ( 8- 9, 82.2) 4-12 504 A Weston CT S (14- 9, 88.2) 1-15 507 A Suffield HS CT S ( 5-11, 75.6) 8- 9 514 A New Fairfield CT M (15- 6, 89.9) 3-20 516 H St Paul Catholic CT S ( 8-10, 66.5) 15- 4 521 N Pomperaug CT M ( 9-10, 77.8) 9-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Joel Barlow 4-19 -15 -23 0.00 406 H Brookfield 0-16 -16 -15 0.00 409 A Notre Dame-Fairfield 11- 9 2 -3 ++ 5.64 411 H Bethel 2-15 -13 -9 -0.78 413 H Watertown 11- 1 10 7 + 2.15 416 H Bunnell-Stratford 6- 5 1 0 1.84 418 A New Milford 4-14 -10 -15 0.00 422 A Watertown 9- 4 5 5 -0.32 423 A Stratford 9-10 -1 -1 0.47 425 H Pomperaug 7-10 -3 -3 0.33 429 A St Paul Catholic 11- 4 7 5 1.56 502 H Masuk-Monroe 4-12 -8 -7 -0.28 504 A Weston 1-15 -14 -16 0.00 507 A Suffield HS 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.66 514 A New Fairfield 3-20 -17 -17 0.00 516 H St Paul Catholic 15- 4 11 7 + 2.03 521 N Pomperaug 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.41UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 N Pomperaug 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Notre Dame-Fairfield 11- 9 2 -3 ++ 5.64 413 H Watertown 11- 1 10 7 + 2.15 507 A Suffield HS 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.66 516 H St Paul Catholic 15- 4 11 7 + 2.03/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 73.22 Local Power Rank........... 70 Local SOS Rating......... 56.75 Local SOS Rank............. 53 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 58 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 42 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 63 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -15.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -15.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -16.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3